-- S&Pグローバルが水曜日に発表したデータによると、香港の民間部門の景況感は4月に2カ月連続で悪化した。中東戦争に関連したコストの急激な上昇を背景に、生産量と新規受注が減少したためだ。 S&Pグローバル香港特別行政区購買担当者景気指数(PMI)は、3月の49.3から4月には48.6に低下し、景況感は10カ月ぶりの大幅な悪化となった。 生産量は2025年6月以来の速いペースで減少し、新規受注も2カ月連続で減少した。企業は景気低迷と顧客需要の弱まりを理由に挙げている。 中国本土からの需要も7カ月ぶりに減少したが、新規輸出受注は増加に転じた。 投入コストは、中東戦争勃発後の原材料、原油、燃料価格の高騰を背景に、2011年10月以来の速いペースで上昇した。企業が利益率の維持を図る中、販売価格も2023年8月以来最速のペースで上昇した。 企業は地政学的な不確実性と市場競争の激化を懸念し、今後の見通しについて依然として悲観的である。 「S&Pグローバル香港特別行政区PMIの4月データは、景況感のさらなる悪化を示しており、第2四半期の低調なスタートを示唆している」と、S&Pグローバルのエコノミスト、ウサマ・バッティ氏は述べた。 「企業は、今回の景況感悪化を中東戦争とその価格、特に原油・燃料価格への影響と関連付けている」と、同氏は付け加えた。 受注残高は2ヶ月連続で減少した一方、雇用者数は3ヶ月ぶりに減少した。これは、企業が人員削減や自主退職者の補充を行わないことで人員を削減したためである。 需要状況が弱まっているにもかかわらず、企業は原材料価格のさらなる上昇に備えて在庫を積み増そうとしたため、購買活動と投入在庫は増加し続けた。
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