-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。Itronの2026年第1四半期決算は、売上高が3%減となったものの、市場予想を上回り、売上高は5億8,700万ドル(市場予想5億7,200万ドル)となりました。非GAAPベースの1株当たり利益(EPS)は1.49ドル(市場予想1.24ドル)で、前年同期比0.03ドル減となりました。調整後粗利益率は過去最高の490ベーシスポイント上昇し、40.7%となりました。これは、堅調な事業遂行と予定より早く進んだプロジェクトが要因です。これらの結果は、事業構成の変化を裏付けるものと見ています。成果事業は22%増の9,600万ドル、サービス事業は全セグメントで30%増となり、新たに加わったレジリエンス・ソリューションズ事業は1,600万ドルの貢献を果たしました。第2四半期の売上高見通しは5億6,000万ドル~5億7,000万ドル、EPSは1.25ドル~1.35ドルと、市場予想の6億600万ドル/1.46ドルを大きく下回っており、経営陣はプロジェクトのタイミングに関する説明を明確にする必要がある。受注残高の減少(6%減の44億ドル)とネットワークソリューションの売上高減少は、注視すべき懸念すべき二重の逆風であると考えている。しかし、7,900万ドルの堅調なフリーキャッシュフローと成果セグメントにおける需要の加速に支えられ、AIを活用したグリッド分析への収益シフトはプラスと見ており、当社の長期的な投資判断は変わらない。
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Research Alert: CFRA Reiterates Sell Opinion On Shares Of United Postal Service, Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We keep our 12-month target at $92, 12.6x our next-12-month EPS view of $7.34. We trim our 2026 EPS view by $0.06 to $7.00 and 2027 by $0.44 to $7.52. Q1 offered some positives with top- and bottom-line beats and better-than-guided International profits (-15.7% vs. -30.0%). Management maintained its 2026 guidance of $89.7B revenue and 9.6% adjusted operating margin, projecting operational inflection in Q2. We think revenue goals are reasonable, but we think margin goals are overly optimistic as we estimate Q2-Q4 requires an average margin of ~10.7%. Consumer spending trends in the U.S. lead us to believe a pullback was materializing prior to the conflict in Iran and we expect that to accelerate. Declines in B2B volumes (-5.1%) indicate industrial weakness. We think cost recovery via fuel surcharges will fail to deliver on profit protection as consumers become less accepting of price increases. Continued margin compression could pressure dividend feasibility as our 2026 EPS view implies a ~94% payout ratio.
US Oil Update: Crude Surges as Middle East Conflict Eclipses UAE OPEC Exit
Crude futures climbed in midday trading on Tuesday as a military standoff in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz outweighed the shock of the UAE's departure from OPEC and the broader OPEC+ alliance.Front-month West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 4.11% to $100.58 per barrel, while Brent futures were up 2.65% to $111.07/bbl.US-Iran peace talks remain at an impasse, with efforts to restart negotiations stalled, Saxo Bank strategists said in a note on Tuesday.On Tuesday, President Trump said in a social media post that Iran wants the US to lift its blockade of the Hormuz and reopen the strategic waterway as soon as possible.Iran, on the other hand, has signaled it may be willing to accept an interim deal to reopen the Strait in exchange for an end to the blockade, according to media reports.The double blockade of the Strait by the US and Iran has ground vessel traffic to near zero, choking off flows of crude, natural gas and oil products.US Marines boarded a commercial vessel in the Arabian Sea on Tuesday, US Central Command said in a post on X, adding they later released the container ship after confirming it would not stop at an Iranian port.Soojin Kim, research analyst at MUFG, said crude edged higher as markets assessed Iran's latest proposal to revive peace talks while disruptions in the Hormuz continued to constrain global energy supplies.The latest data from Kpler show that only six vessel crossings were recorded, up two day-on-day, all moving west to east and evenly split between commercial and non-commercial activity.The shipping data firm said access to the strategic waterway remains uncertain as Iran advances a new negotiation proposal, with the modest uptick in daily crossings indicating caution rather than a meaningful recovery in traffic.Japanese crude very large crude carrier Idemitsu Maru completed a transit via the Hormuz carrying 2 million barrels of crude, which was loaded from Saudi Arabia's Juaymah terminal in early March, according to Marine Traffic.Meanwhile, the UAE will leave OPEC on May 1, a significant blow to the producer group as the global energy market grapples with the massive supply disruption caused by the Middle East conflict.Neil Crosby, a Sparta Commodities analyst, said the producer cartel is facing renewed questions over its long-term cohesion after the UAE's departure, though the immediate impact on global oil balances remains muted.In the short term, it means very little for oil balances with the Strait of Hormuz closed, the analyst told, adding that the implications are more in the longer term if and when the OPEC+ group returns to its prior role in the market.