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聯準會褐皮書顯示,儘管中東局勢緊張,經濟活動仍保持成長。

-- 美國央行週三發布的最新褐皮書顯示,儘管中東戰事持續,但大多數聯邦儲備區自3月初以來經濟活動均有所增長。 這份由紐約聯邦儲備銀行根據截至4月6日收集的數據編制的最新報告指出,八個聯邦儲備區的經濟活動出現小幅至中度增長,而其餘四個地區的經濟活動幾乎沒有變化或出現下滑。 先前於3月4日發布的褐皮書顯示,大多數聯邦儲備區自1月中旬以來經濟均有所增長,整體經濟前景「樂觀」。報告的數據收集於2月底美以與伊朗爆發戰爭前。 最新報告週三指出,“中東衝突被認為是造成不確定性的主要來源,使企業在招聘、定價和資本投資方面的決策變得複雜,許多企業採取了觀望態度。” 有報導稱,在美伊兩週停火協議到期前,華盛頓和德黑蘭可能會重返巴基斯坦舉行第二輪會談。在伊斯蘭堡舉行的首輪和平談判無果。 聯準會表示,儘管部分地區遭遇嚴寒冬季,燃油價格上漲,但消費者支出仍小幅成長。 「許多地區持續出現消費者財務緊張、價格敏感度上升以及食品銀行和其他社會服務機構需求增加的跡象,而高收入消費者的支出則保持韌性,」聯準會發布的褐皮書顯示。 農業部門的活動喜憂參半,農作物價格上漲抵消了化肥和燃油成本的飆升。 據美國農場局聯合會稱,由於霍爾木茲海峽實際關閉導致供應中斷,美國農民面臨化肥價格上漲的壓力。 聯準會發布的褐皮書顯示,儘管所有地區都報告稱,由於中東衝突,能源和燃油成本大幅上漲,但絕大多數地區的價格總體上漲幅溫和。美國勞工統計局週五公佈的數據顯示,3月美國消費者通膨率加速至近四年來的最高月度水準。 聯準會文件顯示,就業情況穩定或略有成長,僅有一個地區報告略有下降。文件也顯示,在勞動市場方面,由於人員流動率低、裁員人數極少,大多數地區的勞動力需求保持穩定。 聯準會褐皮書指出,“由於對未來形勢普遍存在不確定性,企業前景不一。” 上週公佈的聯準會3月17日至18日政策會議紀錄顯示,鑑於伊朗戰爭加劇了通膨和就業風險,聯準會應「靈活」調整貨幣政策。

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