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美國石油市場動態:阿聯酋退出歐佩克,原油期貨價格上漲

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-- 週二,全球原油基準價格飆升,此前阿聯酋宣布歷史性地退出歐佩克,導致該聯盟出現裂痕。同時,霍爾木茲海峽的雙重封鎖使原油過境運輸量接近零。 近月西德州中質原油期貨價格上漲3.9%,至每桶100.18美元;布蘭特原油期貨價格上漲2.9%,至每桶111.35美元。 阿聯酋週二宣布退出歐佩克,這對全球石油卡特爾來說是一個沉重打擊。阿聯酋的退出將於5月1日生效,標誌著其與沙烏地阿拉伯的重大戰略決裂。 盛寶銀行分析師表示:“鑑於全球庫存下降以及重建儲備的必要性,中期來看,市場應該能夠消化阿聯酋新增的原油供應。” 「然而,隨著時間的推移,這次退出引發了一個更廣泛的戰略問題:如果其他產油國開始優先考慮市場份額而非配額紀律,歐佩克透過協調供應調整來維持市場秩序的能力可能會越來越受到質疑,」他們補充道。 官方媒體證實,該決定是在對國內產量和未來產能進行內部評估後做出的。 阿聯酋能源部長蘇海爾·穆罕默德·馬茲魯伊在社交媒體上發文稱:“阿聯酋退出歐佩克的決定反映了一項以政策為導向的演變,符合長期市場基本面。” 同時,由於美國和伊朗持續的軍事對峙實際上封鎖了霍爾木茲海峽,市場緊張局勢仍然高漲。 儘管有報導稱川普政府正在審查伊朗提出的解除封鎖的新方案,但重新開放該水道的進程尚未取得任何進展。 分析師表示,持續的供應緊張局面現在正蔓延到成品油領域,柴油和航空燃油價格正飆升至每桶 200 美元,加劇了全球對戰爭日益嚴重的經濟損失的不滿。

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