-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下：我们12个月的目标价为128美元，上调11美元，该目标价综合考虑了相对估值和现金流折现模型（DCF）分析。相对估值方面，我们对2027年预计EBITDA采用5.5倍的企业价值倍数，与COP的历史平均水平基本一致。这种方法得出每股价值100美元。同时，我们的DCF模型采用5%的中期自由现金流增长率、2.5%的终值，并以6.1%的加权平均资本成本（WACC）进行折现，得出每股内在价值156美元。我们将2026年每股收益（EPS）预期上调3.40美元至8.51美元，并将2027年每股收益预期上调0.14美元至7.31美元。短期内，原油价格上涨应会提振COP项目，但考虑到2026年油价可能飙升并拖累全球经济，我们认为2027年风险更大。阿拉斯加的Willow项目仍按计划于2029年实现首次产油，这或许正逢其时。
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Research
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Strong Sell Opinion On Shares Of Sna
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We trim our 12-month target to $325 from $330, as we revise our outlook lower following Q1 earnings. Our updated target values shares at 15.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $21.12 (down from $21.28; 2026 EPS updated to $19.63 from $19.91), in line with SNA's long-term historical multiple average but below industrial machinery peers. Our Strong Sell view is unchanged following SNA's Q1 print. Margin contraction seen in the first quarter is not an existential threat for SNA, though we believe that earnings growth will be largely limited without underlying profitability inflecting higher. Tariffs and rising material costs ate into SNA's bottom-line during Q1, though organic sales growth was more of a positive. Demand headwinds with OEM dealerships contributed to our revision in EPS growth assumptions for 2026 and 2027, with Repair Systems now set to be less of a contributor to organic sales expansion, in our view.
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US Markets
Cava Could Beat Quarterly Same-Store Sales Views, Lift 2026 Outlook Amid Continued Momentum, RBC Says
Cava Group's (CAVA) first-quarter same-store sales are expected to top Wall Street's estimates amid continued momentum, which could prompt the company to raise its full-year outlook, RBC Capital Markets said in a note e-mailed Friday.The brokerage projects the fast-casual restaurant chain's same-store sales for the quarter to rise 6%, while the Street is looking for 5.9% growth, according to the RBC note to clients. Cava is scheduled to report results May 19."Thus far this earnings season, restaurant winners (and) losers have largely been defined by sensitivity to (the Middle East) conflict-related macro headwinds," RBC analyst Logan Reich said. "For Cava, we don't think their traffic is materially impacted, where their relatively high-income consumer exposure should insulate them from higher gas prices."Energy prices have jumped as the US-Israel war with Iran has curtailed shipments through the crucial Strait of Hormuz. The war, which started at the end of February, paused following a recent ceasefire between Washington and Tehran, though a framework for a permanent truce is yet to be reached.US retail gasoline prices averaged $4.392 per gallon Friday, compared with $3.187 a year ago, according to data from AAA, a travel organization that tracks fuel prices in the country.Cava started the year with comparable sales momentum, which could continue through 2026 amid "menu innovation, digital improvements, and easing compares," Reich said. These factors could help drive upward revisions to the company's own full-year outlook for same-store sales to grow between 3% and 5%, which the brokerage said was "conservative."RBC raised its price target on Cava's stock to $100 from $90 with an outperform rating.The company's shares were down 2.5% in Friday late-afternoon trade. So far in 2026, the stock has surged 56%.Despite the shares' significant year-to-date outperformance, RBC said it's leaning "constructive" into Cava's upcoming results."We theorize there's potential consumer reversion towards the fast-casual category this year, as consumers could increasingly prioritize healthier (and) wellness, which Cava should benefit from, following a material slowdown across the category in (2025) as quick-service chains took share driven by incremental value offerings," Reich said.Price: $91.09, Change: $-2.33, Percent Change: -2.49%
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Sectors
Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed Late Afternoon
Consumer stocks were mixed late Friday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) decreasing 0.2% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) rising 0.6%.In sector news, Spirit Airlines failed to secure sufficient support from certain bondholders and the federal government for a $500 million lifeline, The Wall Street Journal reported. As a result, the airline is preparing to cease operations, the report said.In corporate news, Colgate-Palmolive (CL) shares rose 1.8% after the company reported Q1 results that topped analysts' expectations.The United Auto Workers union intends to hold a vote next week over whether to strike at a Stellantis (STLA) pickup truck factory in Suburban Detroit, Bloomberg reported, citing a UAW podcast. Stellantis shares were down 1.6%.Newell Brands (NWL) raised its 2026 sales outlook, crediting tax refunds, operational improvements, and better-than-expected consumer demand. Its shares jumped past 9%.Estee Lauder (EL) lifted its full-year earnings outlook on Friday as the cosmetics company said it aimed to lay off more staff than previously planned as part of an ongoing restructuring program. Its shares rose 2.4%.
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