-- 澳新银行(ANZ)周三发布的一份报告称,鉴于基本通胀年增长率为3.5%,且预计燃油和其他成本上涨将产生影响,澳大利亚央行可能对通胀前景保持谨慎态度,并将在5月份的会议上加息25个基点。 澳大利亚消费者价格指数(CPI)在3月份季度环比上涨1.4%,而经调整后的CPI均值上涨0.8%。 第一季度经调整后的CPI均值低于澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)2月份预测的约0.9%。报告指出,2025年末基本通胀的部分增长势头似乎正在放缓。 三个月经调整后的CPI年化通胀率略高于RBA设定的3.2%的目标区间,这表明2025年下半年通胀的部分上升与暂时性因素有关。 3月份汽车燃油价格环比上涨33%,创下自2017年该系列数据开始统计以来的最大月度涨幅。澳新银行预计,第二季度总体通胀率将达到同比5%左右的峰值。
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