-- 法国兴业银行周二早间经济新闻摘要指出: ——布伦特原油价格上涨至每桶111美元。特朗普总统在与伊朗国家安全官员会晤后,不太可能接受伊朗提出的结束两伊冲突的提议。正在进行的谈判围绕分阶段进行:潜在协议的第一部分将着重于恢复现状,并重新开放霍尔木兹海峡,不设任何限制或收费。 ——日本央行维持利率在0.75%不变,鹰派人士持反对意见。中川、高田和田村投票支持加息25个基点。消费者价格指数(CPI)预期值从2026财年的1.9%上调至2.8%,从2027财年的2.0%上调至2.3%;核心CPI预期值从2026财年的2.2%和2027财年的2.6%上调至2.6%。 2026财年国内生产总值(GDP)增长预期从1.0%下调至0.5%。预计预测期末油价将跌至每桶70-80美元。 ——明日要闻:美国消费者信心指数、七年期美国国债拍卖、欧洲央行CPI预期。匈牙利和智利央行预计将维持利率不变。 ——日经指数下跌1.0%,欧元区10年期国债收益率上涨2个基点至3.085%,布伦特原油上涨2.1%至每桶110.4美元,黄金下跌1.1%至每盎司4625美元。
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