-- 周三，由于投资者密切关注美伊和平协议的最新进展，沙特证券交易所综合指数（Tadawul All Share Index）收跌0.52%。 据巴基斯坦消息人士透露，美伊即将敲定一份仅一页的备忘录，以结束中东冲突。据称，这份包含14项内容的协议包括解冻伊朗资金、解除制裁等。 另据报道，沙特阿拉伯石油公司（SASE:2222，又称沙特阿美）下调了6月份西北欧、地中海和亚洲主要原油价格。与此同时，北美地区的价格保持不变。沙特阿美股价收跌2.81%。 荷兰国际集团（ING）在一份报告中指出：“尽管波斯湾局势近期有所升级，但由于美伊停火协议似乎仍在维持，油价再次面临下行压力。”沙特阿拉伯下调了其旗舰产品阿拉伯轻质原油6月份销往亚洲的官方售价。该售价从5月份创纪录的19.50美元/桶（高于基准原油价格）下调至15.50美元/桶。尽管如此，这仍然是历史第二高的官方售价。关键在于，该价格假设原油从位于波斯湾的拉斯塔努拉港装船。但显然，这种情况并未发生。原油实际上是在红海沿岸的延布港装船。因此，最终价格可能会更高，以反映从红海运输的物流成本。 在沙特阿拉伯国内，保险公司的盈利情况占据了新闻头条。海湾保险集团（SASE：8250）和合作保险公司（SASE：8010，以Tawuniya的名义开展业务）公布了3月份季度的业绩增长。然而，马拉特合作保险公司（SASE：8020）同期的归属利润和保险收入均出现下滑。 海湾保险公司 (Gulf Insurance)、Tawuniya 和 Malath Cooperative 的股价分别上涨 9.08%、6.20% 和 1.35%。 与此同时，沙特塔达乌尔集团 (SASE:1111) 股价上涨 2.25%，此前该公司董事会建议回购至多 122 万股股票，用于员工持股激励计划。
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UK Shares Rally on Potential End to War; Smith & Nephew Shares Fall
London's FTSE 100 closed 2.15% higher on Wednesday on signs of a potential US-Iran deal to end the war, while expansion across the UK's private sector accelerated."Trump announced a temporary pause to 'Project Freedom,' a naval operation in the Strait of Hormuz, indicating a potential de-escalation. Oil prices declined following the announcement and continued to fall overnight, driven by expectations of progress toward a peace deal with Iran, as hinted by Trump. Trump's upcoming visit to China adds further complexity, given Beijing's close ties with Tehran and its economic reliance on oil transit through the strait," Danske Bank said.Back home, Britain's private sector output growth accelerated in April, indicating a moderate rise in manufacturing production and in services sector activity, data from S&P Global showed. The seasonally adjusted S&P Global UK PMI Composite Output Index rose to 52.6 from 50.3 in March. The flash estimate stood at 52."[This] improvement could easily prove short-lived as new business intakes remained subdued in comparison to the start of 2026," S&P Global Market Intelligence Economics Director Tim Moore said. "Survey respondents widely noted that the Middle East conflict and subsequent global supply chain disruptions had weighed heavily on business and consumer confidence."In corporate news, alcoholic beverage company Diageo (DGE.L) climbed 6.34% after affirming its fiscal 2026 guidance and logging a 2.3% yearly increase in net sales for the fiscal third quarter ended March 31 to $4.48 billion."While the spirits environment remains challenging, particularly in the US, Diageo's refreshed strategy and increased reinvestment should support a medium-term growth acceleration, we believe," BofA Global Research said. "The US remains a key headwind, with limited visibility on the timing and pace of a recovery, but performance elsewhere in the group is solid. We see further upside from accelerated deleveraging."On the downside, medical device manufacturer Smith & Nephew (SN.L) dropped 3.58% after launching a $500 million share repurchase program, maintaining its outlook for full-year 2026, and posting growth in first-quarter revenue to $1.50 billion from $1.41 billion."We expect investors to be incrementally reassured by the in-line revenue delivery in Q1 and the $500m share buyback programme. However, we do not see these results as materially de-risking 2026 guidance at this stage, and we continue to see potential downside to guidance in future periods," RBC Capital Markets said.
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Research
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Sell Rating On Shares Of Vornado Realty Trust
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lower our target by $1 to $26, 11.7x our 2026 FFO per share view. This is above office REIT peers but below VNO's three-year average forward multiple (13.6x), as negative re-leasing spreads and high vacancy levels remain despite an improving office outlook. We lower our 2026 FFO view by $0.07 to $2.22 and raise 2027's by $0.08 to $2.40. There is now increased uncertainty around whether the 350 Park Avenue redevelopment will move forward; it was the first specific item mentioned by management on the call. Citadel will ultimately decide whether the $4.5B project moves forward following a public spat with the NYC Mayor. We note that Verizon will not be building out its PENN 2 lease and has chosen to sublet the space, indicating a recent change in plans. Both PENN 1 and PENN 2 have already completed the heavy lifting for leasing, with financial benefits expected in early 2027. VNO's Park Avenue Plaza acquisition is expected to be accretive this year, with rents 40%-50% below market providing future upside.
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Research
Suncor Energy Maintained at Buy at TPH Following Q1 Results; Price Target at C$105.00
Tudor, Pickering, Holt on Wednesday maintained its buy rating on the shares of Suncor Energy (SU.TO, SU) with a C$105.00 price target following first-quarter results from the oil producer and refiner."Suncor posted Q1 beats across the board, with downstream throughput/product sales primarily driving better AFFO vs. consensus, with better-than-expected capex further supporting a clean FCF beat. Headline Q1 metrics included beats on AFFO/shr (C$3.39 vs. TPHe/Street C$3.34/3.29) and capex (C$1.08B excl. capitalized interest vs. TPHe/Street C$1.19B/1.22B), which together drove the beat on FCF (C$2.91B vs. TPHe/Street C$2.76B/$2.69B). The beat vs. our model on AFFO owed mainly to much greater Downstream performance with 498mbpd throughput coming in well north of TPHe/Street 477/472, representing 97% utilization on the newly rerated 511mbpd nameplate capacity; C$1.98B AFFO was slightly above TPHe C$1.87B but well north of Street C$1.61B. On Upstream ops, 875mbopd came in modestly below our model but also well above Street, comparing to TPHe/Street 880/868, with the delta vs. TPHe driven by Oil Sands production of 799mbopd vs. TPHe 805, with Syncrude maintenance offsetting record Fort Hills; C$2.89B AFFO vs. TPHe/Street C$2.94B/C$2.83B. E&P was in-line on volumes vs. our model but again well north of Street, at 76mbopd vs. TPHe/Street 75/62; C$0.56B AFFO vs. TPHe/Street $0.41B/C$0.35B," analyst Jeoffrey Lambujon wrote.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $88.79, Change: $-6.26, Percent Change: -6.59%
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