-- 根據彭博社週三的分析報告顯示,由於伊朗軍隊扣押船隻並開火,霍爾木茲海峽的航運幾乎陷入停滯。 分析報告稱,伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊扣押了「MSC Francesca」號和「Epaminondas」號兩艘船隻,聲稱它們試圖秘密駛出海峽。 該分析報告引述《華爾街日報》的報導稱,第三艘船據稱也遭到了革命衛隊的襲擊。 至少有兩艘伊朗超級油輪挑戰了美國實施的封鎖,德黑蘭方面稱,封鎖正在破壞正在進行的外交努力。 該分析報告引述彭博社的船舶追蹤數據稱,週三早些時候,只有一艘與伊朗有關的液化石油氣運輸船成功駛出海峽,而進港船隻活動仍然很少。 分析報告稱,數據顯示,通過海峽的船隻大多停留在拉拉克島和格甚姆島附近一條狹窄的北部通道內,這條路線已獲得伊朗當局的批准。 分析報告引述Vortexa的數據稱,伊朗已將其兩艘超級油輪「英雄二號」(Hero II)和「海蒂號」(Hedy)調往阿拉伯海,而美國一直在該地區積極執行對伊朗航運活動的限制。 美國海軍在斯里蘭卡附近扣押了一艘與伊朗有關的貨船,並登船檢查了一艘受制裁的油輪,凸顯了其在該地區的行動範圍和持續維護海上交通秩序的努力。 分析報告指出,儘管緊張局勢加劇,唐納德·川普總統仍延長了停火期限,這表明在談判陷入僵局、海上對抗持續的情況下,他仍保持克制。 分析報告指出,封鎖可能導致船隻關閉追蹤訊號以避免被發現,難以準確監測海峽的航運活動。 分析報告還指出,這種有限的能見度可能會扭曲後續數據,因為當船隻在未被發現的情況下駛離高風險區域後重新出現時,其通行數據會被上調。
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