-- 加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)策略师周五在一份报告中指出,上周美国勘探与生产类股票上涨,原因是原油价格突破每桶100美元,且中东冲突加剧了全球供应预期。 RBC分析师表示,石油类勘探与生产类股票上涨5%,天然气类股票上涨2%,其中大型股上涨5%,中小市值股票上涨3%。 XOP能源ETF上涨5%,与WTI原油价格上涨10%和亨利枢纽天然气价格上涨6%的涨幅相符。 RBC表示,美国勘探与生产类公司第一季度的盈利情况“略好于预期”,但同时指出,目前尚无迹象表明整个行业活动出现全面复苏。 该行指出,二叠纪盆地钻井平台数量略有上升,但部分原因是天然气外输能力受限,而非钻井活动普遍加速。 与此同时,全球原油市场受到持续的地缘政治风险支撑,包括外交努力陷入僵局以及对霍尔木兹海峡局势持续动荡的担忧。 加拿大皇家银行(RBC)表示,有关该地区局势可能升级的报道推高了风险溢价,并推高了与布伦特原油价格挂钩的市场情绪。 该银行还强调,阿联酋实际上退出欧佩克产能纪律后,全球供应动态发生了结构性变化,预计这将使欧佩克的政策工具箱中大量剩余产能消失。 加拿大皇家银行表示,阿联酋退出欧佩克将使沙特阿拉伯在维护市场稳定方面承担更重的责任。
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