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加拿大皇家银行表示,受二叠纪盆地油气强劲和出口需求前景乐观提振,中游油气股上涨。

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-- 加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)策略师周五在一份报告中指出,在油价上涨和销量强劲增长的支撑下,中游能源公司在经历了一轮强劲上涨后,即将迎来繁忙的财报周。 RBC表示,截至4月30日当周,Alerian中游指数上涨4.3%,跑赢涨幅1.4%的标普500指数。今年以来,AMZ指数累计上涨19.5%,远超标普500指数5.3%的涨幅。 尽管该板块的表现也优于公用事业等防御性板块,但RBC指出,其表现仍然落后于上游油田服务以及勘探和生产公司。 原油价格上涨为该板块提供了利好,近月西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格本周上涨约10%,至每桶105美元左右;美国天然气基准亨利枢纽价格上涨约6%,至每百万英热单位2.77美元。 受原油价格上涨和二叠纪盆地市场动态改善的提振,Targa Resources领涨本周,涨幅达8.4%。 加拿大皇家银行(RBC)表示,该地区气油比的上升(Enterprise Products Partners LP的财报重点提及了这一点)正在提振对加工和外运能力的需求。 该银行还表示,康菲石油(ConocoPhillips,COP)在特拉华盆地的额外资本支出也强化了市场对新增活动的预期,从而支撑了Targa的增长前景。 尽管估值仍然偏高,但盈利前景清晰,支撑了估值。RBC估计,中游行业的市盈率约为2027年EBITDA的10.2倍,这表明投资者愿意为稳定的现金流和受益于美国油气出口增长而支付溢价。 与此同时,RBC表示,近期财报也印证了这一观点。企业产品合作伙伴公司 (EPD) 的业绩超出预期,主要得益于销量增长和天然气销售业务的提升;而 Oneok (OKE) 在第一季度业绩超预期且销量前景更为乐观后,上调了其 2026 年调整后 EBITDA 预期。 加拿大皇家银行 (RBC) 分析师表示,受中东地区局势动荡的影响,出口需求可能为包括 Targa 和 Energy Transfer 在内的、业务遍及墨西哥湾沿岸的公司带来额外的利好因素。

Price: $123.80, Change: $-1.98, Percent Change: -1.57%

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