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加拿大皇家銀行表示,由於進口商尋求中東以外的替代方案,3月美國液化天然氣運輸船出港數量創下新高。

-- 加拿大皇家銀行資本市場(RBC Capital Markets)週二表示,根據其正在建立的美國液化天然氣(LNG)運輸監測系統的數據,3月運載美國液化天然氣前往進口市場的油輪出港量創下新高,原因是來自中東的供應中斷。 RBC表示,據估計,未申報目的地的出港油輪中,43%的目的地為歐洲。運往亞洲的油輪出港量較上月翻番,而歐洲仍是大部分出港貨物的目的地。 RBC指出,由於部分中東貨物的供應中斷,亞太地區的需求可能會增加。 RBC表示,卡達約83%的LNG出口能力仍然完好,該國仍需4-6週才能恢復正常運輸,而剩餘17%的出口能力則需要數年時間才能恢復。 在美國新增產能項目中,金山口液化天然氣項目(Golden Pass)已完成首批貨物的交付;年產能150萬噸的科珀斯克里斯蒂三期5號生產線已於3月27日基本完工,略微提前於原計劃。 加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)表示,預計年產能與5號生產線相同的科珀斯克里斯蒂三期6號和7號生產線將於夏秋季基本完工。 薩賓山口7號生產線已簽訂商業合約;卡爾克蘇山口二期二階段工程於3月中旬做出最終投資決定。 加拿大皇家銀行的數據顯示,3月液化天然氣運輸船出港數量達145艘,創歷史新高,比2月增加23%。 這一成長部分歸功於生產商利用少量閒置產能,在全球供應衝擊導致需求上升的情況下最大限度地提高產量。 加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)表示,第三方追蹤數據將有助於證實其預期,即由於對轉口貨物的競爭以及套利機會的出現,越來越多的貨物將運往亞洲。 研究報告指出,位於普拉克明斯(Plaquemines)的主要液化天然氣(LNG)工廠的36條生產線全部投入生產,預計2026年產量約2,600萬噸,之後將增至2,800萬噸。 該裝置目前正在調試中,第一季度工程(年產能1330萬噸)的合約將於第四季開始生效。 RBC表示,第二期工程(年產能670萬噸)將於2027年中期左右開始調試。

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