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加拿大帝国商业银行对未来一周加拿大经济的展望

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-- 据艾弗里·申菲尔德 (Avery Shenfeld) 称,继2月份大幅下滑之后,下周五我们可能会看到劳动力调查 (LFS) 就业数据出现第二次月度反弹。但申菲尔德也表示,劳动力参与率的提高可能导致4月份失业率维持在6.7%的高位。他补充说,学生暑期就业前景疲软可能会抵消人口普查的招聘,并导致失业率在4月份小幅上升。加拿大帝国商业银行 (CIBC) 预测就业人数将增加2万人,而市场普遍预期为增加5000人。 申菲尔德周二表示,油价上涨将使3月份的贸易逆差首次缩小,4月份的贸易逆差有望进一步缩小。加拿大帝国商业银行预测3月份的贸易逆差为22亿加元,而市场普遍预期为28亿加元。 下周的日程安排还包括:周二将分别进行176亿加元的3个月期国库券拍卖、62亿加元的6个月期国库券拍卖和62亿加元的1年期国库券拍卖。 4 月份的 IVEY PMI 将于周三公布,此外还将拍卖 55 亿美元的 2 年期加拿大债券。

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