-- 週二早盤，由於美伊停火協議有望維持，油價走低，此前週一波斯灣暴力衝突有所緩和，油價上漲勢頭回落。 6月交割的西德州中質原油期貨價格下跌3.48美元，至每桶102.94美元，此前週一上漲4.4%；7月交割的布蘭特原油期貨價格下跌1.85美元，至每桶112.59美元。 週一，伊朗襲擊了位於阿曼灣的阿聯酋富查伊拉石油港，伊朗戰爭的敵對行動升級。自2月28日戰爭爆發以來，該港口一直持續出口石油，儘管波斯灣的石油供應仍被困在霍爾木茲海峽。伊朗也向美國軍艦開火，聲稱用兩枚飛彈擊中了一艘美國軍艦，但美國軍方否認了這一說法。 美國隨即對伊朗快艇發動攻擊，同時，川普總統表示，美國將開始引導船隻通過霍爾木茲海峽。路透社報道稱，懸掛美國國旗的汽車運輸船“聯盟費爾法克斯”號（Alliance Fairfax）週一在美軍護航下通過了霍爾木茲海峽。 儘管發生了襲擊事件，但據報道，美國國防部長皮特·赫格塞斯在周二上午的新聞發布會上表示，停火協議仍然有效，並承諾將繼續努力開放霍爾木茲海峽。 然而，這場戰爭造成了有史以來最大的石油供應衝擊，霍爾木茲海峽的關閉阻斷了波斯灣的石油出口，而波斯灣的石油供應佔每日石油需求的20%，這使得油價維持在接近四年高位的水平。儘管美國努力重新開放這條水道，但在達成和平協議之前，油價不太可能有所緩解。 盛寶銀行指出：“儘管美國計劃恢復航運，但安全風險可能導致這條航線在美伊達成協議之前一直關閉，這將持續引發人們對能源價格的擔憂。”
Related Articles
Treasury
TD Sees Higher Oil Prices Lifting Canada's Export Values in Q2
Canada's merchandise trade balance moved into a $1.8 billion surplus in March from a $5.1 billion deficit the prior month, said TD.Exports in March surged by 8.5% month over month following February's sturdy gain. Rapidly rising energy prices pushed crude oil exports up 18.9% month over month, while exports of unwrought gold, silver, and platinum rose by a sizeable 37.7% month over month.Meanwhile, exports of motor vehicles and parts (+4.5% month over month) rose again in March as they continued their recovery from January's depressed level. In total, seven of 11 product categories registered a gain.March's trade data showed some firming in headline activity, though all of the positive print in exports came from price impacts of higher oil prices, stated TD.With data up until March in the books, net trade still appears poised to subtract from Q1 2026 real gross domestic product growth, reflecting a broadly stronger quarter for imports.Looking ahead, higher oil prices should "meaningfully" lift nominal export values into Q2, helping to further improve the trade balance, accoridng to the bank.
$$CXY
Asia Markets
UK Shares Drop as Holiday-shortened Week Starts with HSBC Earnings, Geopolitical Tensions
After a long weekend in the UK, the FTSE 100 closed 1.40% lower on Tuesday as corporate earnings continued to pour in against the backdrop of a fragile US-Iran ceasefire.British banking group HSBC (HSBA.L) dropped 5.86% after reporting first-quarter results that were described as "mixed" by BofA Global Research, with profit after tax attributable to ordinary shareholders of the parent edging up year over year to $6.94 billion from $6.93 billion."HSBC printed an ok set of Q126 numbers," BofA said. "[Pretax profit] ex notable items was in line with consensus, with income beat (from fees and other income) offset by higher costs and impairments. Banking [net interest income] was in line. We are encouraged by HSBC's continued balance sheet and Wealth fee income growth, and remain confident in management's ability to manage cost. While [expected credit loss] was noisy in Q1, we are not concerned about the fundamental credit quality of HSBC's loan book."On the upside, Intertek Group (ITRK.L) rose 5.95% to lead the blue-chip index after confirming it had received a third unsolicited, indicative and conditional proposal from Swedish private equity firm EQT, offering 58 pounds sterling per share in cash, up from prior rejected bids of 54 pounds per share and 51.50 pounds per share."We raise ITRK to Outperform and our [price target] by ~30% to GBP58.50 following announcements of a strategic review to potentially split the business in two and of potential private equity interest in the whole group," RBC Capital Markets said. "We think the status quo is the least likely outcome and think key protagonists have their eye on an eventual US listing of the core testing assets to sit alongside highly comparable, highly valued UL Solutions."In the economic corner, the UK's new car registrations surged 24% year over year to 149,247 units in April, according to data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders. The reading indicated a recovery in the car market from the negative tax change impact in 2025 and marked the best outturn since 2019, SMMT said."The mounting cost of compliance threatens to limit consumer choice, overall decarbonisation and the sector's competitiveness so the need for a rapid review of the transition to align policy with market realities is unchanged, else Britain's attractiveness as a vehicle market and manufacturing hub will be put at risk," said SMMT Chief Executive Mike Hawes.
$^FTSE$HSBA.L$ITRK.L
Australia
Market Chatter: Anthropic Introduces AI Agents for Financial Services Tasks
Amazon-backed (AMZN) Anthropic introduced new artificial intelligence agents built for a broader mix of financial services tasks, Bloomberg reported Tuesday.These agents can draft pitch decks for client meetings, review financial statements, and escalate cases for compliance review, the report said, adding that they are designed for professionals in the banking, insurance, asset management and fintech industries.Anthropic is also improving Claude AI's ability to work across third-party software like Excel, PowerPoint and Outlook, and integrate data from partners in the financial services industry, Bloomberg said.Anthropic did not immediately respond to a request for comment by.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)Price: $276.16, Change: $+4.08, Percent Change: +1.50%
$AMZN