-- シンガポール金融管理局（MAS）は、イラン情勢の緊迫化を受け、金融政策を引き締めた。これは、火曜日に発表された4月の政策声明で明らかになった。 声明によると、中央銀行はシンガポールドル名目実効為替レート（S$NEER）の政策バンドの上昇率を維持し、バンド幅や中心水準は変更しなかった。 米国とイランの交渉決裂を受け、シンガポールはエネルギー価格の変動やサプライチェーンの混乱の影響を受ける可能性がある。 一方、MASは2026年のコアインフレ率と消費者物価指数（CPI-オールアイテム）のインフレ率予測を1.5%～2.5%に下方修正した。 MASは「インフレと成長の見通しには相当なリスクが存在する」と述べ、中東情勢は依然として不確実性が高く、刻々と変化していると付け加えた。 中央銀行は、シンガポールのGDP成長率は鈍化し、需給ギャップは平均で0%前後になると予測している。 1月から2月にかけてのコアインフレ率は前年同期比1.2％で横ばいとなり、前期と変わらなかった。
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Equities
Canada's Retail Sales Momentum May Fade Later in The Year, Says National Bank
Statistics Canada's advance estimate points to a 0.6% month-over-month nominal increase in March retail sales, said National Bank of Canada after Friday's data.Given the surge in gasoline prices that occurred in the month, this figure heavily reflects higher prices at the pump. As a result, in real terms, retail sales could register a contraction in the final month of Q1, noted the bank.Nonetheless, for the quarter, information received to date indicates that real retail sales could grow at a 4.7% annualized pace, following a 2.0% decline in the previous quarter -- marking the strongest quarterly performance since Q4 2024, stated National Bank.This is all the more impressive as it is occurring against a backdrop of demographic contraction, pointed out the bank.Indeed, the most recent figures from StatsCan indicate that the country's population declined for a second consecutive quarter -- an unprecedented development.As a result, real retail spending per capita is tracking a 5.2% increase in Q1, a rebound from the sluggish prints seen in 2025. Still, National Bank thinks that this momentum could fade fast as the year progresses.As a result of the conflict in the Middle East, households will face an erosion in purchasing power in the coming months. This, combined with a mortgage interest-payment shock and a still fragile labor market, could weigh on discretionary spending going forward, according to the bank.
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Australia
Cinemark Likely to Benefit From Release Slate, Wedbush Says
Cinemark (CNK) is set to benefit from a more consistent release slate over the next several quarters and further market share gains, Wedbush said in a Monday note."The summer slate, especially in Q3, is shaping up very nicely," the report said.The note said theater investments, including laser projectors, premium seats and screens, IMAX expansion, and strategic pricing could drive market share gains. It also pointed to other benefits such as new builds and returning cash to shareholders.For its Q1 results due May 1, Wedbush expects Cinemark to post Q1 revenue of $638 million, against consensus of $629 million, and a loss of $0.03 per share, against consensus of $0.16 loss.Wedbush kept its outperform rating and a $37 price target.Price: $29.40, Change: $+0.92, Percent Change: +3.23%
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Asia Markets
Swiss Market Index Closes Little Changed; Santhera Shares Jump
The blue-chip Swiss Market Index was down 0.03% on Monday's close, as investors gear up for a busy week of corporate updates, economic data prints and key monetary policy decisions.Santhera Pharmaceuticals (SANN.SW) secured a positive recommendation from the European Medicines Agency's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use to expand the approval of its Duchenne muscular dystrophy drug Agamree to include the treatment of children who are at least two years old. The drug is currently approved for use on patients aged four and above. The Swiss specialty pharmaceutical company's shares gained 8.38% at closing.Meanwhile, RBC Capital Markets reiterated its outperform rating on Lonza Group (LONN.SW), with a price target of 670 francs, amid expectations that the Swiss pharmaceutical manufacturer's upcoming first-quarter update would be "uneventful." At the end of the trading day, the stock was up 1.83%."We do not see the Q1 qualitative update on 8 May to be a major catalyst for the stock now that Vacaville-specific commentary will no longer be provided, and any further weakness in Specialized Modalities should not be a surprise. We have also taken the opportunity to refresh and add to our commercial product (Enflonsia) and pipeline trackers. There has been some clinical progress, but consensus forecasts have been pushed out a little (aggregate peak sales estimates are unchanged)," the research firm said, noting that it views Lonza as an "attractive and undervalued compounding investment story."The local economic news calendar was empty for the day, while the release of the Swiss KOF Economic Barometer and the UBS & CFA Society Switzerland's economic sentiment index for April, as well as the country's March retail sales figures are on the agenda over the coming days. Market watchers are also awaiting the rate decisions of the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England.
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