FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

US Oil Update: Futures Slide on Hopes for US-Iran Talks, Hormuz Reopening

作者

-- Crude oil futures retreated in after-hours trading on Friday after reports that Iran had sent a new peace proposal to the US via Pakistani mediators, easing fears of a further supply disruption from the Middle East and raising hopes for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Front-month West Texas Intermediate crude futures slipped by 2.45% to $102.50 per barrel, while Brent futures were down by 1.21% to $109.06/bbl.

On Friday, President Trump sent letters to Congress explaining that, due to the ceasefire, he doesn't need its authorization for military operations in Iran, even though the conflict hit the 60-day mark this week.

"On April 7, 2026, I ordered a 2-week ceasefire. The ceasefire has since been extended. There has been no exchange of fire between United States Forces and Iran since April 7, 2026. The hostilities that began on February 28, 2026, have terminated," Trump said in letters to the House and the Senate.

Trump said that despite the success of US operations against Iran and continued efforts to secure peace, the threat posed by Tehran to the US and its forces remains significant.

The IRGC Navy command said it will enforce "new rules" over waters near Iran's coast in the Arabian Sea and the Hormuz, making it "a source of security and prosperity for the region."

Iran reportedly sent its latest proposal for negotiations with the US to Pakistani mediators on Thursday, according to media reports, as Trump threatens to maintain the blockade of Iranian ports amid behind-the-scenes diplomacy to end the Middle East conflict.

The US reportedly sent its list of amendments on Monday to reinsert the nuclear issue into the agreement under discussion, with one of the amendments demanding that Iran commit to not attempting to move any enriched uranium.

On Friday, the US Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control said it could sanction vessels that pay tolls to Iran for safe transit through the Strait of Hormuz, even if those payments are made in the form of charitable donations to Iranian NGOs.

The Department said Iranian demands for toll payments may include fiat currency, digital assets, offsets, informal swaps, or charitable donations made to the Iranian Red Crescent Society, Bonyad Mostazafan, or Iranian embassy accounts.

Traffic through the Hormuz was cut by half on April 30 to seven crossings from the previous day, with traffic split between four commercial and three non-commercial movements, according to Kpler.

相關文章

Research

研究快訊:CFRA維持對辛辛那提金融公司股票的買入評等。

獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:我們將CINF的12個月目標價上調7美元至185美元,對CINF股票(目前股息收益率為2%)的估值相當於20倍的2027年每股收益預期(上調0.10美元,即9.15美元)和21.5倍的2026年每股收益(即10.100美元)。 CINF的五年平均遠期本益比為21倍,同業平均也與之相近。 CINF第一季每股收益為2.10美元,而去年同期每股虧損0.24美元,與我們的預期相符,並高於1.94美元的市場普遍預期。這主要得益於營業收入成長12%,其中保費收入成長11%,淨投資收益成長14%。預計7%的保費收入成長率將處於同業平均的高端。我們認為,CINF的競爭優勢在於其靈活的承保方式以及將承保資本配置到基本面最有前景的領域的能力,這使其在日益激烈的市場競爭中佔據有利地位。我們認為,CINF持續實現高於同業的成長和承保獲利能力的能力將支撐其股票相對於同業的溢價估值。

$CINF
Research

研究快訊:CFRA維持林德集團股票的「持有」評級

獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點摘要如下:我們將LIN的12個月目標股價調高48美元至537美元,本益比為27.1倍,與LIN過去三年的平均預期本益比持平。我們將2026年每股盈餘預期調高0.05美元至18.03美元,2027年每股盈餘預期調高0.26美元至19.81美元。 LIN公佈的第一季調整後每股收益為4.33美元,超出市場預期0.06美元,30%的營業利潤率和24%的資本回報率表明其商業模式具有韌性。管理層將全年業績指引的下限上調至17.60美元至17.90美元(成長7%至9%),並表示儘管面臨地緣政治逆風,但仍對公司充滿信心。預計到年底,71億美元的項目積壓訂單將超過80億美元,這主要得益於支援人工智慧晶片製造的電子項目。美洲地區的銷量年增2%,其中硬商品銷量實現了兩位數成長,但歐洲、中東和非洲地區(EMEA)仍受工業活動疲軟的挑戰。商用航太領域正成為重要的成長動力,航空航太銷售額實現了兩位數成長。氦氣供應緊張帶來了超出預期的上漲機會。我們認為,目前股價已充分反映在我們2027年每股盈餘預期的25.6倍,短期內上漲空間有限。

$LIN
Research

研究快訊:CFRA維持對Silgan Holdings Inc.股票的買入評等。

獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點摘要如下:基於8.9倍的EV/EBITDA(基於我們對2026年EBITDA的預期),我們將12個月目標價下調13美元至46美元,該倍數與SLGN過去三年的平均倍數一致。我們將2026年每股盈餘預期調高0.05美元至3.90美元,並將2027年每股盈餘預期調高0.05美元至4.20美元。金屬容器業務開局強勁,較去年成長2%,寵物食品銷售成長11%。管理層認為,隨著香水、美容和保健品業務全面整合到Weener的產品組合中,該領域仍有巨大的成長空間。我們預計2027年將有更多產品上市並建立客戶合作關係,進而推動該領域的成長。分銷和特殊瓶蓋業務面臨不利因素,主要是由於庫存成本上升,且北美地區的極端天氣事件對銷售造成了負面影響。管理層也指出,隨著今年稍早達成的新業務尚未商業化,預計2026年下半年銷售將有所改善。

$SLGN