FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

US Equity Indexes Mixed Amid Anticipated Iran Peace Talks, Expected Hot Inflation

-- US equity indexes were mixed in Friday's midday trading as a fragile Iran truce looked set to hold until peace talks begin in Pakistan on Saturday, while a red-hot inflation read was in line with the outlook.

The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.3% to 22,887.1, while the S&P 500 fell 0.2% to 6,814.3 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 0.6% to 47,881.5. Technology and materials were among the gainers, while consumer staples, health care, and financials led the decliners.

A key aim of the Iran peace talks in Islamabad is to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz, where President Donald Trump said Thursday that Iran is "doing a very poor job" of letting crude oil pass and cautioned against collecting tolls in the strategic waterway, the report said.

Iran's parliament speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said talks cannot start until the US meets two conditions: a ceasefire in Lebanon and the release of blocked Iranian assets.

Vice President JD Vance, setting off for US-Iran talks in Pakistan's capital Islamabad, said Washington is "willing to extend the open hand" in this weekend's negotiations but warned Tehran not to "try to play us," The Wall Street Journal said.

Ambassadors from Israel, Lebanon, and the US will hold talks in Washington, DC, on Friday to set the table for future negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, an Israeli official and a source familiar with the talks told CNN. The initial discussions will target an agreement on the agenda for direct negotiations, which Israel said would be aimed at disarming Hezbollah and establishing "peaceful relations" between the two countries.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures advanced 1% to $98.92, and Brent crude futures climbed 1.3% to $97.08.

In economic news, US consumer inflation accelerated to its highest monthly reading in nearly four years in March as the Middle East conflict sent energy prices sharply higher.

The consumer price index advanced 0.9% last month, its strongest pace of growth since June 2022, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. The latest print met a Bloomberg-polled consensus view. Prices rose 0.3% in February. Annually, inflation grew to 3.3% from February's 2.4% rise, falling short of Wall Street's 3.4% projection.

Energy price growth jumped about 11% sequentially in March, led by a 21% surge in gasoline, accounting for nearly three-quarters of the headline increase, official data showed.

US Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year up 2.6 basis points to 4.32% and the two-year climbed 2.5 basis points to 3.81%.

"The fallout of the US/Israel-Iran war was evident in the March consumer price index," Oxford Economics Lead US Economist Bernard Yaros said in remarks emailed to.

In company news, Barclays adjusted its price target for Fair Isaac's (FICO) shares to $1,950 from $2,400 while maintaining its overweight rating. The stock traded down 14% intraday, among the steepest decliners on the SP 500.

In precious metals, gold futures fell 0.7% to $4,784.9 and silver futures slipped 0.3% to $76.22.

相關文章

Mining & Metals

Stifel Canada 預覽 Gildan Activewear 第一季業績

Stifel Canada維持對Gildan Activewear (GIL.TO)第一季的業績預測,該公司將於4月30日公佈其第一財季業績。 分析師Martin Landry預計,該公司每股收益將下降42%至0.34加元,與市場普遍預期的0.35加元一致。他維持對該公司股票的「買入」評級,目標價為80美元。 Landry指出,自Gildan發布2026年業績指引以來,出現了一些不利因素:棉花和聚酯價格大幅上漲,可能在2026年第四季開始對Gildan的銷售成本造成壓力。伊朗戰爭爆發後,能源和運輸成本也迅速上漲,給Gildan的成本結構帶來了意想不到的壓力。 他補充說:「雖然我們認為Gildan的2026年財務指引目前尚未面臨風險,但如果能源和大宗商品價格持續高企,則可能面臨壓力。」然而,蘭德里仍然認為吉爾丹的股票在目前的水平上具有價值,儘管在過去三個月裡,吉爾丹的股價下跌了9%,而同期可選地消費指數上漲了1.5%。Price: $83.19, Change: $+0.44, Percent Change: +0.53%

$GIL.TO
Oil & Energy

歐洲、中東和非洲地區石油市場動態:霍爾木茲海峽攻擊事件蓋過伊朗停火協議延期,原油價格上漲

週三盤後交易中,歐洲、中東和非洲地區原油期貨價格上漲。此前不久,川普總統剛延長了霍爾木茲海峽的停火協議,伊朗隨即扣押了兩艘商船,這再次引發了人們對全球能源供應長期中斷的擔憂。 布蘭特原油期貨上漲3.37%,至每桶101.73美元;穆爾班原油期貨上漲4.88%,至每桶100.99美元。 伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊週三表示,其海軍部隊攔截了兩艘試圖穿越霍爾木茲海峽的船隻,並將它們引導至伊朗領海。 MarineTraffic網站稱,這兩艘船均由地中海航運公司(MSC)營運。 英國海事貿易行動組織表示,至少有三艘船在霍爾木茲海峽遭到槍擊。同時,革命衛隊警告稱,任何破壞這一戰略水道秩序和安全的行為都將被視為「紅線」。 盛寶銀行策略師週三在一份報告中指出:“由於供應損失目前已基本鎖定,如果解決方案遲遲未能出台,市場將面臨越來越大的壓力,一些人警告稱,霍爾木茲海峽的通行可能無法完全恢復正常。” 伊朗革命衛隊發動攻擊之前,美伊停火協議剛延長。此前,雙方原定的會談破裂,華盛頓方面仍對霍爾木茲海峽實施海上封鎖。 週二,川普在社交媒體上發文稱,如果美國解除封鎖開放海峽,“除非我們炸毀伊朗的其餘地區,包括他們的領導人,否則永遠不可能與伊朗達成協議!” 川普在Truth Social網站上發文表示:“伊朗不想關閉霍爾木茲海峽,他們想讓它開放,這樣他們每天就能賺5億美元。” 同時,美國總統表示,停火協議將繼續有效,直到「嚴重分裂」的伊朗領導層能夠提出一項統一的永久解決方案。伊朗官員指責美國違反了伊朗在脆弱的停火協議之初提出的十點框架下的承諾。伊朗外交部長阿巴斯·阿拉格奇稱美國封鎖伊朗港口是「戰爭行為」。 三菱日聯銀行(MUFG)研究分析師金秀珍表示,儘管軍事衝突暫時停止,但和平談判陷入僵局,雙方在航運通道和更廣泛的地緣政治問題上持續發生衝突,緊張局勢依然嚴峻。 據報道,俄羅斯副總理亞歷山大·諾瓦克週三表示,從5月1日起,俄羅斯將把原本計劃經由哈薩克斯坦的「友誼」輸油管輸送至德國的石油改道至其他路線。 此前一天,烏克蘭宣布已完成「友誼」輸油管的維修,並準備向歐洲輸送俄羅斯石油。

Commodities

歐洲、中東和非洲天然氣市場最新動態:霍爾木茲海峽局勢升級和挪威天然氣產量下降導致期貨價格上漲

週三盤後交易中,歐洲天然氣期貨價格上漲,此前伊朗在霍爾木茲海峽扣押船隻,導致中東地緣政治局勢再度動盪,加劇了這一全球關鍵能源咽喉要道的緊張局勢。 荷蘭TTF近月合約上漲5.769%,至每兆瓦時44.35歐元(51.94美元);英國NBP期貨上漲4.642%,至每熱量單位110.00便士(1.49美元)。 霍爾木茲海峽在中斷七週多後仍處於事實上的封閉狀態,導致全球約20%的液化天然氣(LNG)運輸量無法通過常規通道,這支撐了天然氣價格,並加劇了人們對供應的擔憂。持續的不穩定局勢進一步打壓了市場情緒,包括有報道稱伊朗軍隊週三早些時候襲擊了海峽中的三艘船隻,伊朗革命衛隊也證實扣押了兩艘船隻。 週二晚些時候,美國總統唐納德·川普宣布延長與伊朗的停火框架,稱華盛頓將推遲進一步的軍事行動,以便德黑蘭有更多時間提出衝突解決方案。然而,外交官們表示,在啟動談判方面幾乎沒有任何實質進展。 供應方面,週三歐洲天然氣庫存水準為產能的30.61%,比去年同期水準低7個百分點以上,該地區正進入補貨季,庫存結構性趨緊。 挪威是歐洲主要的天然氣供應來源,其產量進一步加劇了供應壓力。根據挪威海上油氣管理局的初步數據,3月挪威天然氣日產量降至123.4億立方英尺,季減1.6%,年減0.8%。產量比預期低0.5%。這是挪威天然氣產量連續第二個月較上季和年減。 2026年3月,挪威天然氣總銷量為108億立方米,比上月減少了0.9億立方米。