-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:
We lower our 12-month target price by $5 to $125, 15.5x our 2026 P/FFO estimate, below self-storage peers (16.7x) given EXR's weak NOI growth outlook and elevated debt levels. We decrease our 2026 FFO estimate by $0.20 to $8.04 and lower 2027 by $0.21 to $8.31. Despite a stronger Q1 same-store performance than expected, management did not increase guidance, which we believe is due to macroeconomic factors that are affecting new customer demand growth (primarily higher gas prices and inflation). These trends have been more pronounced in Sun Belt markets (similar to all self-storage REITs), as the excess supply has severely limited rental growth in the past 18 months. We believe 2H 2026 will have weaker same-property performance, even if the macroeconomic environment improves due to stronger Y/Y comps from 2H 2025. We also see a new risk that PSA's partnership with Welltower Inc (WELL) may negatively impact EXR's value proposition for its third-party management platform.