-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:
We lower our target by $15 to $150 using a narrower equity risk premium that still reflects APO's strong 20%+ fee earnings growth and robust AUM growth. Our target reflects a forward P/E of 16.6x versus a three-year historical average of 16.3x forward earnings. We were too optimistic in our EPS outlook and have lowered our 2026 EPS by $0.50 to $9.00 and 2027's by $0.70 to $10.75, both near consensus, on projected revenue of $5.3B and $6.3B, respectively. A risk to our rating is share price volatility led by concerns about lower-quality direct loans or private equity exposure to AI's potential disruption of software companies. On the earnings call, APO stated that low-quality direct loans (non-investment grade) exposed to AI disruption in technology firms are not material to total AUM. Of $1,026B in total AUM, Credit represented $834B (81% of total) and Equity represented $192B (19%). For 2026, APO is guiding toward 20%+ fee earnings, with 75% of revenue from established Credit businesses and 25% from Equity.