FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Research Alert: CFRA Downgrades Opinion On Shares Of Nucor Corporation To Sell From Hold

作者

-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

We increase our 12-month target price by $6 to $198, driven by an EV/EBITDA of 8.5x our 2027 EBITDA estimate, which is between NUE's three-year average forward EV/EBITDA of 7.8x and the peers' average of 9.2x. We raise our 2026 EPS estimate by $1.97 to $13.75 and trim 2027 by $0.09 to $13.39. NUE reported strong Q1 results with record steel mill shipments of 7 million tons and a backlog of 4.7 million tonsthe highest since Q2 2021. While management is optimistic about sustained demand from data centers, infrastructure, and the border fence project, we believe current steel pricing dynamics reflect an unsustainable peak. Import penetration has fallen to 15%, aided by aggressive trade enforcement, which has tightened domestic supply and elevated prices. However, we expect competitive pressures to reassert as new capacity starts up in the U.S (including NUE's own West Virginia sheet mill ramping through 2027-2028) adding supply into potentially softer markets. We view the risk/reward as unfavorable at current levels.

相關文章