-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:
We lower our target by $9 to $14 on an 8x 2026 EV/EBITDA (unchanged), a discount to the shares' 10x three-year average forward multiple. We lower our 2026 EPS estimate to $1.62 from $2.50 and 2027's EPS to $2.32 from $2.97. Following disappointing Q1 results, we downgrade from Hold to Strong Sell. At current levels, shares trade near the low end of their 7.5x-12.0x historical range. However, we believe this valuation is justified given deteriorating fundamentals. NCLH underperformed on net yields (-1.0% in Q1), reflecting disruptions to European itineraries that had an outsized effect versus peers, as well as marketing and revenue management execution issues. We believe the company's approach to offsetting these headwinds through cost reductions could further damage brand positioning and customer experience, particularly at its flagship NCL brand in the Caribbean. Additionally, fuel costs are expected to rise 10% in 2026 and leverage has worsened to 5.4x, creating financial pressure at an inopportune time.