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FINWIRES

EMEA Oil Update: Brent Firm as Traders Assess Trump Administration's 'Project Freedom'

作者

-- Oil prices remained firm on Monday as skepticism surrounding US shipping plans and a deadlock in Iran peace talks offset a modest production increase by OPEC+.

The Brent futures contract gained 0.8% to $109.01 per barrel. Murban closed at $103.76 on May 1 and was not trading as of the time of publishing this oil price update.

"The market is steadier at the start of the new trading week, despite continued noise around developments in the Persian Gulf," ING said.

Sentiment was briefly shaken by the announcement of "Project Freedom," a US plan to guide commercial ships out of the Strait of Hormuz.

However, initial selloffs were quickly reversed as the market grew unconvinced by the plan's scope.

Analysts note that without active US Navy escorts for inbound vessels, the move likely only provides temporary relief by clearing out existing floating storage rather than restoring normal trade flows.

Supply concerns are further exacerbated by a lack of progress in diplomatic channels and shifts within OPEC+.

Although the group announced a 188,000 b/d supply increase for June, its first meeting since the UAE's surprise exit, market experts doubt the full volume will reach the market.

Over half of the scheduled increase is tied to Persian Gulf producers currently restricted by the Strait of Hormuz blockade.

With President Trump reportedly labeling Iran's latest peace proposal "unacceptable" and Tehran refusing to discuss nuclear terms until port blockades are lifted, crude prices continue to hold a significant risk premium.

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