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Nasdaq, S&P 500 Fall From Record Highs Amid Iran War Uncertainty; Oil Jumps

-- The Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 fell from record highs, while oil prices climbed as traders tracked an apparent re-escalation in the Middle East conflict.

The Nasdaq dropped 0.3% to 24,404.4 after a 13-day winning streak that propelled the index to fresh peaks. The S&P 500 declined 0.2% to 7,109.1. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed at 49,442.6.

Six of the 11 sectors were in the green, led by materials, while communication services saw the steepest drop.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil was last up 5.6% at $88.58 per barrel, while Brent advanced 5.1% to $94.98.

Iran took back control of the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday after opening the waterway to commercial vessels on Friday. The US and Iran have accused each other of violating a two-week ceasefire announced April 7.

The US Navy on Sunday seized an Iranian-flagged vessel that tried to move past a naval blockade, President Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post.

"Oil prices are being whipsawed by developments in the Middle East once again, with what appears to be de-escalation quickly turning to re-escalation," ING Bank said in a report.

The US is sending its negotiating team to Pakistan for a second round of peace talks, and while Iran has publicly said it doesn't plan to participate, Bloomberg News reported that Iran will be sending its delegation to Islamabad.

The ceasefire with Iran ends "Wednesday evening Washington time," Trump told Bloomberg News. He said it's "highly unlikely" he would extend the two-week truce.

The US-Iran ceasefire may be extended by up to two weeks, though it will take much longer to hammer out a complete peace agreement, Macquarie Group said in a note on Monday.

US Treasury yields were mixed, with the 10-year rate little changed at 4.26% and the two-year rate rising 1.7 basis point to 3.73%.

Some 46 S&P 500 companies have so far reported their latest quarterly financial results in the current cycle, with earnings and sales up around 32% and 13% year over year, respectively, Oppenheimer Asset Management said in a report. Ahead of the reporting season, FactSet put expected earnings growth at 12.6% from a year earlier, according to the brokerage.

"It's too early to draw conclusions about first-quarter results, but the quarter appears to be off to a good start," Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist John Stoltzfus said.

About 94 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to release their quarterly financials this week, according the brokerage. Those include Tesla (TSLA), Intel (INTC), IBM (IBM), Texas Instruments (TXN), Philip Morris International (PM), Procter & Gamble (PG), GE Aerospace (GE), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), and RTX (RTX).

In company news, QXO (QXO) has agreed to acquire insulation products company TopBuild (BLD) in a cash-and-stock deal worth roughly $17 billion, the companies said Sunday. QXO shares fell 3.1%, while TopBuild surged 19%.

Sila Realty Trust (SILA) agreed to be acquired and taken private by certain affiliates of Blue Owl Capital's (OWL) real estate unit in an all-cash deal worth roughly $2.4 billion. Sila Realty shares jumped 19%, while Blue Owl rose 0.4%.

Gold was last down 1% at $4,832.10 per troy ounce, while silver dropped 2.5% to $79.81 per ounce.

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Oil & Energy

歐洲、中東和非洲地區石油市場最新消息:川普延長停火協議,布蘭特原油價格回落

週三,由於美國延長了與伊朗的停火協議,暫時阻止了直接軍事升級,原油期貨價格走低。 布蘭特原油期貨合約下跌0.8%,至每桶97.74美元。穆爾班原油4月21日收在每桶96.29美元,截至發稿時已停止交易。 美國總統川普週二表示,他延長了與伊朗的停火協議,同時維持對伊朗的封鎖,因為談判前景仍然不明朗。 川普在Truth Social上發文表示:“…應巴基斯坦陸軍元帥阿西姆·穆尼爾和總理謝赫巴茲·謝里夫的要求,我們被要求暫停對伊朗的攻擊,直到他們的領導人和代表能夠提出統一的方案。” 川普表示,美國將繼續維持封鎖,顯示美國將繼續施壓,並暗示談判的前提是伊朗提出明確的談判立場。 儘管川普總統應巴基斯坦的要求推遲了對伊朗的軍事行動,但霍爾木茲海峽的持續關閉正在抑制全球石油需求。 盛寶銀行分析師表示:“衝突正在抑制供應,需求減少近400萬桶/日,甚至可能增至500萬桶/日,主要影響亞洲地區。” 供應方面,美國石油協會週二公佈的數據顯示,截至4月17日當週,美國原油庫存減少了440萬桶。 目前,石油市場正等待美國能源資訊署將於週三發布的石油庫存報告。

Asia

市場傳聞:受中東局勢擔憂影響,馬來西亞推遲碳稅計劃

根據《星報》週二報道,馬來西亞自然資源與環境永續發展部長亞瑟約瑟夫庫魯普表示,由於中東地區持續的地緣政治緊張局勢,馬來西亞已推遲原計劃實施的碳稅。 該稅原定於今年開始對鋼鐵、能源等產業徵收,但為避免給相關產業和消費者增加壓力,已被推遲。據報道,庫魯普表示,政府將優先建立碳信用框架,包括核查系統和國家碳登記系統。 4月1日獲批的《國家碳市場政策》(DPKK)將作為馬來西亞參與自願性和強制碳交易市場的基礎。庫魯普補充說,馬來西亞仍致力於實現2035年的減排目標和2050年的淨零排放目標,並將繼續推動綠色轉型。 (市場動態新聞來自與全球市場專業人士的對話。這些資訊據信來自可靠來源,但可能包含傳聞和推測。準確性無法保證。)

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Asia

受前景走強和出口成長提振,日本股市上漲

週三,日本股市收高,日經225指數上漲。此前,摩根大通將該指數的年底目標從61000點上調至70000點,理由是人工智慧板塊的強勁勢頭以及日圓走軟。 週三,日經225指數上漲0.4%,或236.69點,收在59585.86點。 摩根大通分析師表示,儘管原油價格居高不下,但市場對日經225指數過熱的擔憂超過了日本股市長期成長前景的改善。 週三,該基準指數攀升至歷史新高,逼近60,000點大關,此前該指數從與中東緊張局勢相關的全球拋售潮中反彈。 經濟新聞方面,日本財務省數據顯示,3月日本貿易順差擴大至6,670億日圓,出口增速超過進口增速,對華出口和對美出口抵銷了伊朗衝突導致的中東貿易大幅下滑。 日本央行表示,金融體系保持穩定,但同時指出地緣政治緊張局勢、油價上漲以及房地產、外資和槓桿市場活動等風險正在上升。 企業方面,三菱日聯金融集團(TYO:8306)股價下跌逾1%,此前有報告指出,該公司正考慮提高其計劃中的數位銀行的存款利率,以在速度和成本方面展開競爭。 東京電力公司(TYO:9501)股價上漲約4%,此前該公司獲得47億日圓的新撥款,用於支持正在進行的核事故賠償支付。 加入應用材料公司的 EPIC 平台並開設矽谷研究中心以推進晶片開發後,愛德萬測試公司 (TYO:6857) 股價上漲約 3%。

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