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S&P 500 Snaps 7-Day Winning Streak as Wall Street Logs Back-to-Back Weekly Gains

-- The S&P 500 retreated Friday following a seven-day advance ahead of upcoming talks between the US and Iran, while Wall Street notched its second consecutive weekly gain.

The index slipped 0.1% to 6,816.9, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.6% to 47,916.6. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.4% to 22,902.9, its eight consecutive day of gains.

Most sectors ended in the red, led by consumer staples, while tech paced the gainers.

This week, the Nasdaq rallied 4.7%, the S&P 500 advanced 3.6%, and the Dow climbed 3%.

"In another week of high drama, markets ended in a calmer fashion, awaiting this weekend's direct talks between the US and Iran in Islamabad around the 14-day ceasefire," said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO, said in a report.

The focus shifts to Pakistan, where officials from Washington and Tehran are expected to meet on Saturday. The truce, which Pakistan helped broker, appeared to be holding so far, though there's uncertainty around the outcome of these talks.

Fighting between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah continued in Lebanon, CNN reported Friday. Iran's parliament speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said talks will begin only if there is a ceasefire in Lebanon and blocked Iranian assets are released.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil was down 2.3% to $95.63 a barrel in Friday late-afternoon trade.

In economic news, US consumer inflation accelerated to its highest monthly reading in nearly four years in March as the Middle East conflict sent energy prices sharply higher, official data showed.

"The fallout of the US/Israel-Iran war was evident in the March consumer price index," Oxford Economics said in a note.

US consumer sentiment hit the lowest on record this month, reflecting heightened worries about higher prices and the overall economic fallout from the Middle East conflict, a survey by the University of Michigan showed.

US Treasury yields were higher, with the 10-year rate last up 4.3 basis points at 4.32% and the two-year rate rising 4.1 basis points to 3.81%.

In company news, ServiceNow (NOW) shares slumped 7.6%, among the worst performers on the S&P 500.

The enterprise software company's competitive advantage may have been eroded amid growing evidence that workflow automation tasks can be automated by harnessing artificial intelligence models, UBS Securities said in a note. The brokerage downgraded its rating on the stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target to $100 from $170.

CoreWeave (CRWV) shares jumped nearly 11% after the AI cloud computing company struck a deal to support the development and deployment of Anthropic's Claude AI models.

Major tech names advanced, with Nvidia (NVDA) up 2.6%, the biggest gainer on the Dow, while Super Micro Computer (SMCI) jumped 8.8%, the best performer on the S&P 500. Broadcom (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), and Amazon.com (AMZN) also notched gains.

Cloudflare (NET) shares tumbled nearly 14% amid an extended sell-off. The slump offers a buying opportunity, while concerns around Project Glasswing are "overblown" as the cloud-services company is seen benefitting from projected exponential growth in agentic artificial intelligence applications, Oppenheimer said Friday.

Project Glasswing is a cross-industry coalition formed to "secure the world's most critical software," Anthropic said in a statement. The alliance, which will be using Anthropic's unreleased Claude Mythos frontier model, includes several big tech names including Amazon Web Services, Broadcom and Nvidia.

Gold was down 0.6% at $4,790 per troy ounce, while silver rose 0.1% to $76.48 per ounce.

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Oil & Energy

伍德麥肯茲表示,隨著油價反彈和經濟復甦時間表推遲,霍爾木茲海峽的干擾加劇。

伍德麥肯茲週二表示,霍爾木茲海峽的航運仍受到嚴重限制,船舶通行量遠低於正常的每日170艘,能源市場正對持續的中斷做出反應。 伍德麥肯茲指出,儘管有停火訊號,但水道實際上仍受到限制,安全通行的不確定性繼續阻礙航運活動。 儘管美國和伊朗正朝著重啟談判的方向邁進,但雙方在條件上仍存在巨大分歧,這增加了海灣能源出口長期中斷的風險。 伍德麥肯茲補充說,4月7日宣布的為期兩週的停火以及隨後在黎巴嫩進行的為期10天的暫停,曾一度提振了人們對緊張局勢緩和的樂觀情緒。 然而,兩艘印度船隻在周末試圖通過海峽時遭到砲火襲擊,被迫返航,凸顯了持續存在的風險。 伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊警告船隻不要在波斯灣和阿曼海航行,並表示「接近霍爾木茲海峽將被視為與敵人合作」。 伍德麥肯茲公司的數據顯示,停火後,船隻通行量略有回升,每天約有20艘船隻通過,但仍遠低於2月約170艘的水平。 這種有限的復甦勢頭已經逆轉,週日記錄到的船隻通行量極少,顯示石油、天然氣和化學市場持續受到干擾。 報告顯示,停火後油價最初下跌,布蘭特原油價格從每桶110美元左右下跌約14%至95美元以下,之後一度跌至略高於86美元。 隨後油價反彈,布蘭特原油6月期貨價格上漲約5%至每桶95美元左右,而歐洲天然氣價格一度攀升至每兆瓦時61.5歐元(72.21美元),之後回落至40歐元。伍德麥肯茲公司表示,美國加強了對伊朗的封鎖,扣押了一艘貨船,並加大了對伊朗相關航運的壓力。同時,雙方在周末的言論交鋒也愈發激烈。 伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊下屬媒體塔斯尼姆通訊社指出,如果敵對行動再次爆發,包括曼德海峽在內的幾個地點可能會「進入衝突區」。 伍德麥肯茲公司補充道,塔斯尼姆通訊社也提到了沙烏地阿美公司在延布和富查伊拉的資產和重要石油碼頭,這些碼頭是繞過霍爾木茲海峽的替代路線。 伍德麥肯茲公司高級副總裁艾倫·格爾德表示,和平協議或許能讓一些油輪迅速恢復航行,但霍爾木茲海峽的正常交通全面恢復可能要到6月底才能實現。 伍德麥肯茲表示,和平協議達成後,液化天然氣出口可能會出現初期激增,但全面恢復正常運作需要更長時間。 伍德麥肯茲的馬西莫·迪·奧多阿爾多表示,卡達南部液化天然氣設施的重啟可能需要三到四周,而北部設施的恢復則需要更長時間。 伍德麥肯茲指出,美國和伊朗之間日益緊張的局勢使復原時間表蒙上陰影,霍爾木茲海峽的長期中斷威脅著全球能源市場更嚴重的失衡。 伍德麥肯茲的彼得馬丁表示,布蘭特原油2026年的平均價格約為每桶85美元,並警告稱,接近每桶90美元的價格可能將全球經濟成長率推低至2%以下,甚至陷入衰退。

Research

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紐西蘭航空首席財務長將辭職

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