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Nasdaq, S&P 500 Extend Winning Streak as Truce Remains Intact

-- The Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 posted their seventh straight day of gains as a two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran appeared to remain on track.

The Nasdaq closed 0.8% higher at 22,822.4, its highest close since Feb. 26 -- two days before the US-Israel war with Iran started. The S&P 500 climbed 0.6% to 6,824.7.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.6% to settle at 48,185.8, advancing for a second consecutive session.

Barring energy and health care, all sectors were in the green, led by consumer discretionary's 2.5% rise.

Officials from Washington and Tehran are expected to meet this weekend in Pakistan, which helped broker the truce.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the country would negotiate with Lebanon on disarming Hezbollah, CNN reported Thursday. Iranian state media previously reported that transit through the Strait of Hormuz was halted following Israeli attacks on Lebanon.

Oil prices jumped, with West Texas Intermediate crude last up 4.9% at $99.06 per barrel. The benchmark hit up to $102.70 per barrel earlier in the session as shipment activity through the Strait of Hormuz remained restricted. Brent crude climbed 2.4% to $96.99 per barrel.

The rebound in oil prices follows the sharpest one-day pullback since 2020 in the previous session following the ceasefire announcement.

"With a full reopening of the strait unlikely in the near term, oil prices are expected to remain supported, as disruptions linked to reduced output and refinery shutdowns will take time to unwind," ING Bank said in a note.

US Treasury yields were declining, with the 10-year rate down 1.5 basis points at 4.29% and the two-year rate falling 2.1 basis points at 3.77%.

In economic news, US inflation accelerated sequentially in February as real consumer spending edged higher, with analysts expecting price pressures to intensify due to the spillover effects of the Middle East conflict.

The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric -- which excludes food and energy -- rose 0.4% month over month, unchanged from January's reading. Annual growth slowed to 3% from 3.1%. All inflation prints met estimates in Bloomberg-compiled surveys.

"With headline inflation likely to test 4% soon, there is little chance the Fed will ease policy in the near term," BMO Capital Markets said in a note.

The US economy expanded at a slower rate in the fourth quarter than previously projected, as consumer spending growth decelerated, the Bureau of Economic Analysis' third estimate showed Thursday.

"The downward revision to (fourth-quarter) GDP is not a major concern, as it was driven by the volatile inventory component," Oxford Economics Chief US Economist Michael Pearce said in remarks e-mailed to. "Gross domestic income -- a better gauge of underlying activity -- and gross domestic output of private business showed the core of the economy was still expanding at a healthy pace at the end of last year."

In company news, CoreWeave (CRWV) agreed to supply artificial intelligence cloud capacity to Meta Platforms (META) in a $21 billion deal as the companies expanded their partnership amid robust demand for infrastructure supporting AI workloads. CoreWeave shares rose 3.5%, while Meta gained 2.6%.

Ares Management (ARES) agreed to acquire and take private Whitestone REIT (WSR) in an all-cash deal worth about $1.7 billion. Whitestone shares jumped nearly 12%, while Ares was virtually flat.

Brown-Forman (BF.A, BF.B) was approached by Sazerac about a potential transaction amid ongoing discussions with French spirits company Pernod Ricard, The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter. The company's class B shares surged nearly 13%, the top gainer on the S&P 500, while its A shares soared 11%.

Chevron (CVX) said it expected higher commodity prices driven by the Middle East conflict to boost first-quarter earnings in its upstream segment by up to $2.2 billion, though timing impacts could weigh on the oil giant's bottom line. The company's shares fell 1.3%, among the worst performers on the Dow.

Gold was last up 0.4% at $4,795.80 per troy ounce, while silver advanced 0.6% to $76.84 per ounce.

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Oil & Energy

伍德麥肯茲表示,隨著油價反彈和經濟復甦時間表推遲,霍爾木茲海峽的干擾加劇。

伍德麥肯茲週二表示,霍爾木茲海峽的航運仍受到嚴重限制,船舶通行量遠低於正常的每日170艘,能源市場正對持續的中斷做出反應。 伍德麥肯茲指出,儘管有停火訊號,但水道實際上仍受到限制,安全通行的不確定性繼續阻礙航運活動。 儘管美國和伊朗正朝著重啟談判的方向邁進,但雙方在條件上仍存在巨大分歧,這增加了海灣能源出口長期中斷的風險。 伍德麥肯茲補充說,4月7日宣布的為期兩週的停火以及隨後在黎巴嫩進行的為期10天的暫停,曾一度提振了人們對緊張局勢緩和的樂觀情緒。 然而,兩艘印度船隻在周末試圖通過海峽時遭到砲火襲擊,被迫返航,凸顯了持續存在的風險。 伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊警告船隻不要在波斯灣和阿曼海航行,並表示「接近霍爾木茲海峽將被視為與敵人合作」。 伍德麥肯茲公司的數據顯示,停火後,船隻通行量略有回升,每天約有20艘船隻通過,但仍遠低於2月約170艘的水平。 這種有限的復甦勢頭已經逆轉,週日記錄到的船隻通行量極少,顯示石油、天然氣和化學市場持續受到干擾。 報告顯示,停火後油價最初下跌,布蘭特原油價格從每桶110美元左右下跌約14%至95美元以下,之後一度跌至略高於86美元。 隨後油價反彈,布蘭特原油6月期貨價格上漲約5%至每桶95美元左右,而歐洲天然氣價格一度攀升至每兆瓦時61.5歐元(72.21美元),之後回落至40歐元。伍德麥肯茲公司表示,美國加強了對伊朗的封鎖,扣押了一艘貨船,並加大了對伊朗相關航運的壓力。同時,雙方在周末的言論交鋒也愈發激烈。 伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊下屬媒體塔斯尼姆通訊社指出,如果敵對行動再次爆發,包括曼德海峽在內的幾個地點可能會「進入衝突區」。 伍德麥肯茲公司補充道,塔斯尼姆通訊社也提到了沙烏地阿美公司在延布和富查伊拉的資產和重要石油碼頭,這些碼頭是繞過霍爾木茲海峽的替代路線。 伍德麥肯茲公司高級副總裁艾倫·格爾德表示,和平協議或許能讓一些油輪迅速恢復航行,但霍爾木茲海峽的正常交通全面恢復可能要到6月底才能實現。 伍德麥肯茲表示,和平協議達成後,液化天然氣出口可能會出現初期激增,但全面恢復正常運作需要更長時間。 伍德麥肯茲的馬西莫·迪·奧多阿爾多表示,卡達南部液化天然氣設施的重啟可能需要三到四周,而北部設施的恢復則需要更長時間。 伍德麥肯茲指出,美國和伊朗之間日益緊張的局勢使復原時間表蒙上陰影,霍爾木茲海峽的長期中斷威脅著全球能源市場更嚴重的失衡。 伍德麥肯茲的彼得馬丁表示,布蘭特原油2026年的平均價格約為每桶85美元,並警告稱,接近每桶90美元的價格可能將全球經濟成長率推低至2%以下,甚至陷入衰退。

Research

研究快訊:EWBC:第一季獲利超預期,營收成長優於預期

獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:EWBC公佈了強勁的2026財年第一季業績,營運每股收益為2.57美元,高於去年同期的2.08美元,超出市場預期0.10美元。第一季營收為7.74億美元,超出市場預期3%,年增12%,季增2%。該季度再次創下歷史新高,銀行貸款、存款和手續費收入均創歷史新高,同時保持了良好的信貸品質。淨利息收入較上季成長2%,表現優異;淨利差提升8個基點至3.49%,主要得益於存款成本下降21個基點至2.84%,足以抵銷貸款收益率下降9個基點的影響。資產負債表成長依然強勁,貸款總額達到創紀錄的580億美元(季增2%,年增7%),存款總額達690億美元(季增3%,年增9%)。貸款成長實現了良好的多元化,涵蓋商業和工業貸款、商業房地產貸款以及住宅抵押貸款組合。手續費收入季增13%,創歷史新高,其中財富管理費收入成長超過一倍。在競爭激烈的市場環境下,該行的資金優化措施持續取得成效。

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Asia

紐西蘭航空首席財務長將辭職

紐西蘭航空(ASX:AIZ,NZE:AIR)週三向紐西蘭證券交易所提交的文件顯示,財務長理查德湯姆森已辭職,將於8月28日生效。 文件還補充道,該航空公司已啟動尋找新任財務長的程序。

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