FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

US Dollar Falls Early Thursday Ahead of Busy Data Schedule

作者

-- The US dollar fell against its major trading partners early Thursday ahead of a busy data of economic data releases, starting with weekly jobless claims, the first look at Q1 GDP, personal income and spending data for March and the employment cost index for Q1, all at 8:30 am ET.

The Chicago PMI for April is due to be released at 9:45 am ET, followed by weekly natural gas stocks at 10:30 am ET and initial estimate of the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDP nowcast for Q2 around midday.

The FOMC maintained the target range for its policy rate at 3.50% to 3.75% at its meeting on Wednesday and made few changes to its statement, but there were three dissents in favor of removing the easing bias from the statement in addition to Governor Stephen Miran's dissent to lower the target range by 25 basis points.

A quick summary of foreign exchange activity heading into Thursday:

EUR/USD rose to 1.1702 from 1.1676 at the Wednesday US close but was below a level of 1.1708 at the same time Wednesday morning. Eurozone consumer price rose at a slower pace in April than in the previous month, but the year-over-year rate accelerated, while Eurozone GDP growth slowed in Q1 compared with the previous quarter and the Eurozone unemployment rate declined in March, according to data released overnight. The next European Central Bank meeting announcement is scheduled to be released at 8:15 am ET, when no change in the target rate is expected.

GBP/USD rose to 1.3514 from 1.3477 at the Wednesday US close and 1.3508 at the same time Wednesday morning. The Bank of England maintained its current target rate its meeting announcement Thursday morning on an 8-1 vote and cited concerns that inflation will be lifted by global uncertainty. The next Bank of England meeting is scheduled for June 18. There are no UK data on Thursday's schedule.

USD/JPY plunged to 156.51 overnight from 160.3923 at the Wednesday US close and 159.8116 at the same time Wednesday morning on suggestions that Japan may intervene in currency markets to support the yen. Japanese industrial production declined in March while Japanese retail sales rebounded in March after a decline in the previous month and Japanese household confidence declined in April, according to data released overnight. The next Bank of Japan meeting is scheduled for June 15-16.

USD/CAD fell to 1.3663 from 1.3682 at the Wednesday US close and 1.3680 at the same time Wednesday morning. The Bank of Canada held its target rate steady in its meeting announcement on Wednesday, citing uncertainty due to geopolitical tensions. The next Bank of Canada meeting is scheduled for June 10. Canada GDP data for February and March are due to be released at 8:30 am ET.

相关文章

International

能源价格上涨,通胀率创2022年年中以来新高

受中东冲突导致能源价格飙升的影响,美国3月份通胀加速至2022年年中以来的最快水平。 美国经济分析局周四公布的数据显示,3月份个人消费支出价格指数(PCE)环比上涨0.7%,高于上月的0.4%。最新数据显示,该指数为2022年6月以来的最高水平。 3月份汽油和其他能源商品价格飙升21%。 由于美以与伊朗之间的战争导致霍尔木兹海峡的运输中断,能源价格大幅上涨。近期,美伊之间以及以色列与黎巴嫩之间达成停火协议,冲突暂时中止。 按年计算,PCE价格指数上涨3.5%,为2023年5月以来的最大涨幅,高于2月份的2.8%。 美联储首选的通胀指标(剔除食品和能源价格)3月份环比下降至0.3%,低于2月份的0.4%。年度增长率从3%加速至3.2%。 彭博社汇总的调查显示,所有通胀数据均符合预期。 道明经济咨询公司(TD Economics)经济学家克谢尼娅·布什梅涅娃(Ksenia Bushmeneva)在一份报告中表示:“通胀压力持续酝酿。能源危机形势依然不明朗,汽油价格可能在一段时间内保持高位。” 周三,美联储维持基准贷款利率不变,称中东冲突加剧了美国经济前景的不确定性。 个人消费支出增长0.9%,符合华尔街预期。经通胀调整后的实际消费者支出增长0.2%,低于市场预期的0.3%。 布什梅涅娃表示:“短期内,更高的退税额(比去年同期高出约11%)和更低的所得税将在一定程度上缓解消费者的压力。然而,展望未来,家庭可能不得不削减开支,以抵消更高的汽油价格和仍然居高不下的通货膨胀。”

Research

研究快讯:Bldr:第一季度盈利不及预期;下调2026年业绩指引

独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:Builders FirstSource (BLDR)公布的第一季度调整后每股收益为0.27美元,低于市场预期的1.51美元(下降82%),远低于市场普遍预期的0.37美元。BLDR第一季度销售额下降11%至32.9亿美元(比市场预期高出1.3亿美元),但毛利率下降220个基点至28.3%。BLDR目前预计2026年净销售额为146亿至156亿美元,调整后EBITDA为11亿至15亿美元,而此前的预期分别为148亿至158亿美元和13亿至17亿美元。目前市场普遍预期BLDR 2026年的销售额为149.1亿美元,EBITDA为13.9亿美元。管理层表示,公司仍专注于自身可控因素,包括服务客户、拓展差异化增值解决方案组合以及利用技术加速增长。积极的一面是,BLDR预计到2026年将实现5000万至7000万美元的生产力提升。BLDR第一季度的业绩凸显了其面临的根本性挑战。公司正处于周期性低谷,并在疲软的房地产市场中持续挣扎。BLDR较高的杠杆率(3.2倍)和利润率压力令人担忧。

$BLDR
Research

B. Riley 将 Peabody Energy 的评级从“买入”下调至“中性”,并将目标价从 42 美元下调至 30 美元。

根据FactSet调查的分析师报告,博地能源(BTU)的平均评级为“增持”,平均目标价为37.79美元。 (报道北美、亚洲和欧洲主要银行及研究机构的股票、商品和经济研究。研究机构可通过以下链接联系我们:https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $26.59, Change: $-0.85, Percent Change: -3.10%

$BTU