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Research Alert: Deutsche Bank Posts Q1 Beat; Geopolitical Risks Cloud Outlook

作者

-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

Deutsche Bank delivered a record Q1 2026 post-tax profit of EUR2.2B (8% Y/Y growth) and EPS of EUR1.06, both exceeding consensus estimates of EUR1.78B and EUR0.92, respectively. Net revenues of EUR8.7B grew 2% and beat the consensus estimate of EUR8.5B, with strong performance across all segments achieving post-tax RoTE at near or above 13%. The results demonstrate impressive operational momentum with efficiency gains (cost/income ratio improved to 58.9% from 61.2%) and clear progress toward 2028 strategic targets. Management provided full-year 2026 guidance including net revenues of ~EUR33B, signaling confidence in execution. However, we remain cautious about sustainability given mounting macro headwinds. The EUR519M provision for credit losses, including overlays for geopolitical and CRE risks, underscores management's concerns about deteriorating conditions. We believe Germany's exposure to the Middle East conflict and energy cost inflation warrants a measured outlook despite the strong quarter.

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