-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:
We think UDR will be an underperformer versus the S&P 500, and the trust's fundamental outlook is low-single digit growth at best. We keep our $34 target using a forward P/FFO of 13.3x below peer group given its high concentration in Sun Belt markets. We keep our 2026 FFO estimate at $2.55 and lower 2027's by $0.01 to $2.60 on revenue projections of $1.72B and $1.77B, respectively. We think this puts added pressure on UDR's ability to raise rental rates, especially for new leases where incentives like free months are still needed. Renewal leasing also faces some limitations to how much UDR can raise rents as tenants can relocate to competitor housing. Cash NOI outlook is not promising. An important metric to monitor is cash NOI, which takes into account rental revenue less operating expenses that have risen at a faster pace (higher labor, insurance, and property taxes). UDR's 2026 targets are same-store revenue growth of 0.25% to 2.25%, expense growth of 3.00% to 4.50%, and cash NOI growth of -1.00% to 1.25%.