FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

US Oil Update: Futures Headed for Weekly Decline

-- Oil prices eased on Friday and were headed for a weekly decline after the US-Iran ceasefire deal which effectively slashed the geopolitical risk premium, even as the agreement gets off to a very shaky start.

The front-month West Texas Intermediate crude contract was down 0.5% at $97.41 per barrel. Brent futures eased 0.5% to $65.98/bbl.

Both contracts were headed for a weekly fall of about 12%.

"Crude prices try to stabilise below [$]100 following the sharpest weekly drop since last June yet remain underpinned by mixed signals surrounding the proposed peace plan, a roughly 600,000 b/d cut in Saudi production capacity, and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February," Saxo Bank analysts said.

An April 9-dated news article by the Saudi Press Agency citing the Energy Ministry referred to an attack "recently" on a pumping station on the East-West pipeline, which it said caused a loss of about 700,000 barrels in throughput.

It did not make mention of the origin of the attack but a source told Reuters on Wednesday that it came from Iran, damaging Saudi Arabia's main alternative route to export markets since the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

"Meanwhile, spot Brent transactions continue to clear at notable premiums to futures, underscoring mounting supply stress as refiners scramble to replace disrupted Middle East flows," Saxo Bank added.

June Brent futures have retreated below $100 per barrel following the ceasefire announcement. Yet cargoes already at sea priced by Dated Brent, the global benchmark for immediate delivery, remain stubbornly above $120.

US President Donald Trump gave a warning to on Thursday amid reports that Tehran has started charging transit fees on tankers seeking to exit the Strait of Hormuz. Shipping through the key waterway remains restricted despite the ceasefire deal.

"There are reports that Iran is charging fees to tankers going through the Hormuz Strait," Trump said in a social media post on Truth Social, "They better not be and, if they are, they better stop now!"

According to TRM Labs' Thursday note, Iran's new toll framework requires payments of up to $2 million per vessel payable in cryptocurrency or Chinese yuan generating an estimated $20 million in daily revenue for Tehran.

Further tightening the squeeze, Russia's Tass news agency reported, citing a senior Iranian source, that Iran will continue to limit the movement of ships.

The source reportedly said that under the current ceasefire, "fewer than 15 ships per day" will be permitted to sail via the Strait of Hormuz, according to the report.

All eyes are now on high-stakes talks between a US delegation and Iranian officials scheduled for this weekend.

相关文章

Australia

据美国银行称,CSX在首席执行官Angel的领导下提高了增长和利润率目标。

美国银行证券周四表示,自史蒂夫·安吉尔(Steve Angel)于2025年9月上任以来,这位CSX (CSX)首席执行官加快了服务改进步伐,提高了财务目标,并精简了成本结构,这些举措正使公司受益。 该公司目前将营收增长目标从低个位数上调至中个位数,并预计其营业利润率将达到200-300个基点目标区间的高端。根据该报告,美国银行还将CSX的营收增长预期从1.6%上调至4.2%。 美国银行表示,CSX预计燃油附加费将支撑其营收增长至中个位数。成本控制,尤其是在采购服务及其他方面的控制,凸显了安吉尔旨在构建可持续长期生产力提升的战略。 这家投资公司将CSX 2026年的每股收益预期从1.80美元上调至1.90美元,并将2027年的每股收益预期从2.10美元上调至2.15美元。 美国银行维持对CSX的“买入”评级,并将目标价从46美元上调至49美元。 CSX股价周四上涨7.6%。Price: $46.47, Change: $+3.29, Percent Change: +7.61%

$CSX
Asia Markets

受美股午后下跌影响,交易所交易基金(ETF)走低

大盘指标 综合市场交易所交易基金(ETF)IWM 和 IVV 下跌。活跃交易的景顺QQQ信托基金(QQQ)下跌0.2%。 周四午盘交易中,美国股指下跌,原因是中东地缘政治风险加剧,以及特斯拉(TSLA)今年的资本支出预期较去年同期增长了两倍。 能源 iShares美国能源ETF(IYE)和道富能源精选行业SPDR基金(XLE)均上涨约0.3%。 科技 道富科技精选行业SPDR基金(XLK)下跌0.7%;iShares美国科技ETF(IYW)和iShares扩展科技行业ETF(IGM)均下跌约0.6%。 State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor (XSD) 上涨 3%,iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) 上涨 2.7%。 金融 State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) 下跌 0.7%。Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) 下跌 2.8%,而其对应的 Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) 则上涨 2.8%。 大宗商品 原油价格上涨 1.1%,美国石油基金 (USO) 上涨 1.5%。天然气价格上涨 1.0%,而美国天然气基金 (UNG) 下跌 4.5%。 Comex 黄金价格下跌 0.2%,State Street SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) 下跌 0.2%。白银价格下跌 2.2%,iShares Silver Trust (SLV) 下跌 1.7%。 消费板块 道富消费必需品精选行业SPDR基金(XLP)上涨1.6%。先锋消费必需品ETF(VDC)上涨1.4%,iShares道琼斯美国消费品ETF(IYK)上涨1.7%。 道富非必需消费品精选行业SPDR基金(XLY)下跌0.2%。VanEck零售ETF(RTH)上涨0.3%,而道富SPDR标普零售ETF(XRT)下跌0.9%。 医疗保健板块 道富医疗保健精选行业SPDR基金(XLV)下跌0.3%,iShares美国医疗保健ETF(IYH)下跌0.5%,先锋医疗保健ETF(VHT)下跌0.5%。iShares生物技术ETF(IBB)下跌1.1%。 工业板块 道富工业精选行业SPDR基金(XLI)上涨2.1%。先锋工业指数基金(VIS)和iShares美国工业指数基金(IYJ)也出现上涨。 加密货币板块 午盘交易中,比特币(BTC-USD)下跌0.9%。在加密货币ETF中,ProShares比特币ETF(BITO)下跌0.7%,ProShares以太坊ETF(EETH)下跌2.8%,ProShares比特币和以太坊市值加权ETF(BETH)下跌1.1%。

$^DJI$^EEM$^EXI$^FAS$^FAZ$^GLD$^IBB$^IGM$^IGV$^IPK$^IVV$^IWM$^IXIC$^IYE$^IYH$^IYJ$^IYK$^IYW$^PMR$^QQQ$^RTH$^SOXX$^SPX$^SPY$^UNG$^USO$^VDC$^VHT$^VIS$^XLE$^XLF$^XLI$^XLK$^XLP$^XLV$^XRT$^XSD$BETH$BITO$EETH
Mining & Metals

Stifel Canada 表示,AtkinsRealis 收购 WGA 是“积极的”。

Stifel Canada 对 AtkinsRealis Group (ATRL.TO) 收购总部位于澳大利亚和新西兰、拥有 800 名员工的私营工程咨询公司 WGA 持积极态度。 分析师 Ian Gillies 在一份报告中表示,此次收购将 AtkinsRealis 的目标股价上调 1 美元至 115 美元,并维持对该股的“买入”评级。他指出,预计此次收购将分别使该公司 2026 年和 2027 年的 EBITDA 增长 1.2% 和 1.7%。 Gillies 估计,此次收购的成本约为 2.61 亿美元,交易倍数为 10 倍 EV/EBITDA。“重要的是,该公司拥有超过 32 亿美元的内部资金储备,这将继续推动其积极开展并购活动。”Price: $91.17, Change: $-0.51, Percent Change: -0.56%

$ATRL.TO