Mining & Metals
CIBC Raises Linamar's Price Target to C$110.00 From C$105.00 Following Q1 Results
CIBC Capital Markets maintained its outperformer rating on the shares of Linamar (LNR.TO) and raised its price target to C$110.00 from C$105.00 on Wednesday, after the company reported first-quarter results.Q1 results were "well above expectations," and apart from the impact of Section 232 tariff changes, performance is "tracking ahead" of LNR's original outlook, said CIBC."Incremental tariff impacts drove a reduction in Industrial and consolidated margin guidance, though a stronger sales outlook in both segments drives our AOI forecast modestly higher, bringing our price target to $110 (from $105)," said CIBC. "We view this as likely a temporary impairment of earnings rather than a permanent one, and overall LNR's results point to a fundamentally healthy business that is executing well. Valuation remains attractive (3.8x CIBC 2026E EBITDA) and we stay Outperformer-rated."Strong Mobility sales growth was driven by recent acquisitions, launching activity, and volume growth on existing programs, stated CIBC. "Management continues to see many potential distressed M&A opportunities, particularly in Europe," noted CIBC.Industrial segment outperformance was primarily driven by continued share gains in Skyjack , where volumes were +66% Y/Y driven by innovation and demand from AI-related construction projects, said CIBC. "Ag continued to decline amid weak farmer sentiment, though the company noted pent-up demand, more balanced dealer inventory levels, and potential H2 catalysts from relief payments," further noted CIBC. "LNR expects modest growth in Access markets in 2026/2027, while N.A. Agricultural markets are expected to be down 15%-20% in 2026."Changes to Section 232 steel/aluminum tariffs are "negatively impacting" Industrial margins starting in the second quarter, but there is no impact to Mobility, said CIBC. CIBC has estimated a ~300bps headwind to segment margins, though this is uncertain and likely a moving target."Guidance reflects mitigation steps already in-place, but LNR continues to explore a variety of alternatives," added CIBC. "The focus is on low-cost, low-effort actions, and LNR is not looking at moving production."Price: $96.50, Change: $+5.84, Percent Change: +6.44%
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