-- Truist Securities周五在一份报告中指出,尽管人们担忧伊朗战争的影响,但工业部门在第一季度可能仍表现出强劲的需求。 报告称,整体增长势头主要归功于机械市场需求的改善,以及数据中心、航空航天和暖通空调行业的增长。 Truist分析师,包括Jamie Cook,表示:“与伊朗战争相关的投入成本上升在短期内是可控的。” Cook表示,虽然存在关税方面的担忧,“但我们更担心与伊朗的战争旷日持久及其潜在的宏观经济影响。” 在黎巴嫩和以色列达成停火协议后,伊朗周五开放了霍尔木兹海峡,导致油价暴跌。此前,美国和以色列与伊朗爆发战争,能源价格飙升。美国总统唐纳德·特朗普对在双方为期两周的停火协议到期前与伊朗达成协议的前景表示乐观。 库克写道:“我们预计机械、多元化工业和基础设施服务行业第一季度的业绩将呈现积极态势。” 在机械行业方面,鉴于订单增长势头强劲,该券商维持了对迪尔(Deere,DE)、爱科(AGCO,AGCO)和凯斯纽荷兰工业(CNH Industrial,CNH)2026年的业绩预期。库克表示,卡特彼勒(Caterpillar,CAT)预计将再次迎来强劲的季度业绩。 基础设施服务公司AECOM(ACM)和杰克布斯(Jacobs,J)必须以可持续的内生增长和利润率提升来说服投资者,尽管杰克布斯预计本季度业绩稳健。 库克表示,多元化工业企业派克汉尼汾(Parker-Hannifin,PH)有望继续实现盈利超预期并上调业绩预期,有迹象表明工业内生增长正在改善。研究报告指出,AMETEK(AME)正在复苏,并具备更多收购能力。 AMETEK将于2025年完成对Faro Technologies的收购。
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