-- Truist Securities週五在一份報告中指出,儘管人們擔憂伊朗戰爭的影響,但工業部門在第一季可能仍表現出強勁的需求。 報告稱,整體成長動能主要歸功於機械市場需求的改善,以及資料中心、航空航太和暖通空調產業的成長。 Truist分析師,包括Jamie Cook,表示:“與伊朗戰爭相關的投入成本上昇在短期內是可控的。” Cook表示,雖然存在關稅方面的擔憂,“但我們更擔心與伊朗的戰爭曠日持久及其潛在的宏觀經濟影響。” 在黎巴嫩和以色列達成停火協議後,伊朗週五開放了霍爾木茲海峽,導致油價暴跌。此前,美國和以色列與伊朗爆發戰爭,能源價格飆升。美國總統川普對在雙方為期兩週的停火協議到期前與伊朗達成協議的前景表示樂觀。 庫克寫道:“我們預計機械、多元化工業和基礎設施服務行業第一季的業績將呈現積極態勢。” 在機械產業方面,鑑於訂單成長勢頭強勁,該券商維持了對迪爾(Deere,DE)、愛科(AGCO,AGCO)和凱斯紐荷蘭工業(CNH Industrial,CNH)2026年的業績預期。庫克表示,卡特彼勒(Caterpillar,CAT)預計將再次迎來強勁的季度業績。 基礎設施服務公司AECOM(ACM)和傑克布斯(Jacobs,J)必須以可持續的內生成長和利潤率提升來說服投資者,儘管傑克布斯預計本季業績穩健。 庫克表示,多元化工業企業派克漢尼汾(Parker-Hannifin,PH)有望繼續實現盈利超預期並上調業績預期,有跡象表明工業內生成長正在改善。研究報告指出,AMETEK(AME)正在復甦,並具備更多收購能力。 AMETEK將於2025年完成對Faro Technologies的收購。
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