FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Toyota Forecasts 22% Profit Drop for Next Fiscal Year on Middle East Headwinds

By

-- Toyota Motor (TYO:7203) warned that net income attributable to shareholders would slump 22% to 3 trillion yen in the fiscal year ending March 2027, as the world's largest automaker struggles to absorb shocks from the Middle East conflict.

Sales for fiscal year 2027 are predicted to inch up 0.6% to 51 trillion yen, according to Toyota's fiscal year 2026 results published Friday.

In a presentation accompanying its results, Toyota said the company may be unable to absorb the newly added impact from the Middle East.

Bloomberg noted, citing data from the Japan Automobile Manufacturer's Association, that Japan's domestic carmakers import about 70% of their aluminum materials from the Middle East.

"[W]e expect operating income to decline for the third consecutive year. We believe this is because our response to changes in the operating environment has been limited to measures that can be implemented in the short term, while progress on the business structure transformation that should be pursued from a mid- to long-term perspective remains only partway complete," Toyota said.

Toyota is targeting sales of 10.5 million Toyota and Lexus-branded vehicles in fiscal year 2027, boosted by strong demand at home. The company expects Japan sales to grow 25% next fiscal year, while overseas sales are forecast to decline 3%.

Meanwhile, production of these vehicles are predicted to grow to 10 million units from 9.9 million units in fiscal year 2026.

For the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, Toyota's net profit plunged 19% year on year to 3.99 trillion yen, with earnings per share shrinking to 295.25 yen from 359.56 yen.

Sales rose 5.5% year on year to 50.69 trillion yen, which it attributed to increased vehicle sales volume and the effects of price revisions that offset the 1.4 trillion yen impact of US tariffs.

Operating income, however, tumbled 21.5% year on year to 3.77 trillion yen.

"Despite the impact of US tariffs, we were able to secure profits in line with our guidance due to increased vehicle sales volumes and the effects of price revisions underpinned by strong product competitiveness, as well as steadily accumulated improvement efforts such as expanded value chain revenues," Toyota said.

Consolidated vehicle sales in fiscal year 2026 rose to 9.6 million units from 9.4 million units in the previous year, on the back of strong demand in Japan and North America.

Toyota lifted its annual dividend for fiscal year 2026 to 95 yen per share from 90 yen per share a year earlier. It expects to raise its full-year dividend for the next fiscal year by 5 yen to 100 yen per share.

Related Articles

Asia

SML Isuzu's Total Commercial Vehicle Sales Rise in April

SML Isuzu's (NSE:SMLMAH, BOM:505192) total commercial vehicle sales in April rose to 1,711 units from 1,492 units sold a year ago, according to a Friday filing to the Indian stock exchanges.Exports in the month grew to 30 units from 20 units in the previous year, while production was up at 1,588 units from 1,529 units.The company's shares were down over 1% in recent trade.

$BOM:505192$NSE:SMLMAH
Asia

Market Chatter: Paraguayan President Urges Taiwan Firms to Expand Investment

Paraguayan President Santiago Peña has urged Taiwan's private sector to increase investment in Paraguay, saying the country offers political stability, strong economic growth, and access to wider Latin American markets, Focus Taiwan reported Thursday.He said Paraguay, Taiwan's only diplomatic ally in South America, is outperforming regional peers, with the IMF projecting about 4.2% GDP growth in 2026 and Moody's recently upgrading its credit rating to investment grade, according to the report.Peña also pitched deeper cooperation in AI and high-tech industries, highlighting Paraguay's hydropower capacity and Taiwan's semiconductor strength as a "perfect match" for joint development, the news outlet said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

$^TWII
Commodities

Asia Biofuels Update: Malaysian Palm Oil Down; 2nd Weekly Loss Expected

Malaysian palm oil futures edged lower on Friday and were on track for a second weekly loss, as crude oil prices logged sharp declines amid peace deal hopes and as weakening demand continued to weigh on sentiment.The Bursa Malaysia Derivatives' June crude palm oil contract slipped 0.04 % to 4,505 Malaysian ringgit ($1,152.83) per metric ton. The July contract eased by the same extent to 4,539 ringgit/mt. The contracts were set to lose more than 0.6% over the week.Malaysia has seen softer exports in the first 25 days of April, with cargo surveyors estimating a 15.7% to 16.8% month-over-month decline in shipments, largely due to logistical disruptions in the Middle East and as buyers exercised caution with buying due to high prices.Palm oil discounts to rival edible oils have eroded due to the recent price uptrend, resulting in a demand shift in India. Dealer estimates cited by Reuters showed a month-over-month drop in the country's palm oil purchases in April, and a rise in soybean oil and sunflower oil imports.S&P Global said that price spreads between Asian crude palm oil and South American soybean oil have shifted from negative to positive territory. From discounts of $50/mt to $100/mt earlier in the year, palm oil has traded at premiums to soybean oil of $80/mt to $100/mt in March and April.India typically buys soybean oil from Argentina and Brazil, and imports palm oil from Indonesia and Malaysia.High freight rates, however, limit arrival of South American soybean oil to Asia, with costs surging by about $130/mt in recent weeks, according to S&P Global.Over the week, the local currency has strengthened 1.3% versus the US dollar, raising purchase costs to international buyers and further weighing on export demand.A potential increase in production in April, following a seasonal low in Q1, may also pressure prices. Toward the end of the year, output trend could reverse as the El Nino weather phenomenon develops.Nonetheless, expected increases in domestic consumption in Indonesia and Malaysia, with the implementation of higher biodiesel blending mandates, could provide an upside.The release of Malaysia's April palm oil data on May 11 is expected to influence price movement.