-- 根據週五公佈的數據,Teranet-加拿大國家銀行綜合指數連續第四個月下跌,且跌幅加快。 2月至3月期間,房價下跌1.0%,而上月下跌0.6%。 因此,過去四個月房價累積下跌2.3%,較去年同期下跌5.0%。新聞稿指出,3月價格指數追蹤的所有市場中,有55%的市場較高峰下跌10%或更多。 新聞稿稱,儘管這一比例低於2022年的水平,但以歷史標準衡量仍然非常高,尤其是在當前利率較為寬鬆的環境下。新聞稿也補充道,儘管3月二手房市場銷售趨於穩定,但交易量仍然特別低,導致房價持續下跌。 事實上,新聞稿指出,全國每戶家庭的交易量比歷史平均低26%。 週五發布的報告指出,過去一年來,公寓價格下跌幅度(-5.6%)幾乎與獨立屋價格下跌幅度(-4.9%)相當,凸顯了加拿大住宅市場的普遍疲軟。報告稱,毫無疑問,人口結構下降、年初以來勞動力市場疲軟以及貿易不確定性(如今又增加了地緣政治不確定性)等諸多因素持續對房地產市場構成壓力。 報告也指出,中東衝突甚至對加拿大房地產市場產生了影響,由於市場預期通膨上升,債券殖利率攀升,導致3月抵押貸款利率上漲。 在此背景下,如果與美國的貿易緊張局勢沒有積極轉機,預計未來幾個月房價將繼續下跌。
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