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Saudi Aramco FY26 Forecasts Revised as BofA Notes Better-than-Expected Q1 Results

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BofA Global Research raised its forecasts for Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (SASE:2222), d/b/a Saudi Aramco, as it incorporated the company's stronger-than-anticipated first-quarter results.

"We update our model post 1Q26 results to reflect better than expected upstream EBIT, which came 7% higher than BofAe as well as lower taxes. As a result, our FY26E net income has increased by c.3% vs our old estimates, while FY27E and 28E net income remain broadly unchanged," analysts wrote in a Tuesday note. "We believe Aramco is well positioned for production ramp post conflict resolution. To get from 10mb/d to 12mb/d, it contractually has 90 days, but it usually takes about 3 weeks. It can sustain 12mb/d production for up to 12 months without additional investments."

The 2026 EPS estimate was upwardly revised to 2.13 Saudi riyals from 2.07 riyals, while the projection for 2028 was nudged higher to 2.14 riyals from 2.13 riyals.

The buy rating on the stock and price objective of 34.50 riyals were both maintained.

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