FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Research Alert: Nrg Q1: 14% Eps Miss As Ls Power Integration Costs Eclipse Operational Gains

By

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

NRG Energy reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.49, declining 44.4% Y/Y and missing consensus estimates of $1.73 by 14%, as integration challenges from the LS Power acquisition offset operational gains. Revenue surged 19.5% to $10.3B from the 13 GW of acquired assets, but adjusted EBITDA declined 4.1% to $1.08B due to integration costs, mild Texas weather, and higher supply expenses. The transformational LS Power transaction doubled generation capacity but created near-term headwinds as benefits were offset by operational complexities. Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance with adjusted EPS of $7.90-$9.90 and adjusted EBITDA of $5.3B-$5.8B, expressing confidence in strategic benefits as integration progresses. Texas segment EBITDA declined 27.8% to $216M due to reduced heating demand, while Vivint Smart Home grew 5.0% to $294M. Free cash flow turned negative at $(66)M versus $293M in the prior year, though liquidity of $3.3B remains adequate despite declining from $9.6B at year-end 2025.

Related Articles

Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintained Buy Rating On Suncor Energy Inc. As Free Funds Flows Grows 53%

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We maintain our 4-STARS (Buy) rating and boost our target price to CAD103. This reflects a 8.0x EBITDA multiple and 18.0x earnings multiple based on our 2027 projections. We increased the EBITDA multiple in tandem with the industry multiple to reflect superior operational execution. The story is largely unchanged since the 2026 Investor Day, as Q1 proved to be another strong quarter of cash flow generation and value return. Upstream production reached 875.2k bbl/d, up 2.6% Y/Y. Refining throughput reached 497.8k bbl/d at 97% utilization, while refined product sales increased 13% to 680.9k bbl/d. Free funds flow grew 53% to CAD2.91B. The company returned CAD1.54B to shareholders through CAD825M in share repurchases and over CAD700M in dividends. We maintained our 2026 and 2027 EPS forecasts of CAD6.97 and CAD5.39, respectively.

$SU
Research

Research Alert: Su Maintained Buy As Free Funds Flows Grows 53%: Tp $75

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We maintain our 4-STARS (Buy) rating and boost our target price to CAD103. This reflects a 8.0x EBITDA multiple and 18.0x earnings multiple based on our 2027 projections. We increased the EBITDA multiple in tandem with the industry multiple to reflect superior operational execution. The story is largely unchanged since the 2026 Investor Day, as Q1 proved to be another strong quarter of cash flow generation and value return. Upstream production reached 875.2k bbl/d, up 2.6% Y/Y. Refining throughput reached 497.8k bbl/d at 97% utilization, while refined product sales increased 13% to 680.9k bbl/d. Free funds flow grew 53% to CAD2.91B. The company returned CAD1.54B to shareholders through CAD825M in share repurchases and over CAD700M in dividends. We maintained our 2026 and 2027 EPS forecasts of CAD6.97 and CAD5.39, respectively.

$SU
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of Ballard Power System Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We increase our target price from CAD4.20 to CAD6.40, applying a price-to-sales multiple of 13x our 2026 sales-per-share view (CAD0.49 using a USD/CAD exchange rate of 0.73x). We adjust our 2026 loss per share (LPS) estimate to -USD0.19 from -USD0.23 and our 2027 LPS view to -USD0.11 from -USD0.15. BLDP reported Q1 2026 revenue of USD19.4M, up 26% Y/Y, driven by strong growth in rail (up 4,472% to USD5.1M) and stationary power (up 775% to USD5.2M), though Bus revenue declined 46% to USD6.8M due to delivery timing and EU funding delays. Q1 results showed encouraging metrics, and we see potential upside from major design wins with Wrightbus and Solaris for next-generation hydrogen bus platforms and a multiyear 50 MW agreement with New Flyer. However, its declining backlog remains a concern. The 12-month order book declined 2% to USD52.8M, while the total backlog fell 5% to USD112.9M. We applaud improving gross margin trends, reflecting successful execution of its cost reduction initiatives.

$BLDP