CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:
Ahead of AMZN's Q1 print, we trim our 12-month target to $285 from $296, 30x our 2027 EPS of $9.48 (was $9.87; 2026 to $7.60 from $8.00). While this remains a premium to the ~25x peer average, it implies a three-year PEG of 1.5x vs. 2.0x for peers. Our revised estimates reflect elevated AI investment, with total net capex likely rising 50%+ to roughly $200B (~60% three-year CAGR), with a large portion of these investments monetized in 2027/2028. At this scale of spend, alongside strong demand for AMZN's in-house chips (Trainium2 largely sold out; Trainium3 nearly fully subscribed), strong AWS backlog figures, and expanding power capacity, we have high conviction that AWS growth can accelerate from ~20% in 2025 to the high-20% range in 2026 and the mid-30% range in 2027. Elsewhere, we expect continued retail margin expansion, driven by improved fulfillment efficiencies and strength in high-margin digital ads. Profit growth should improve in 2H 2026 as Amazon Leo costs move from the P&L to the balance sheet.