CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:
Our 12-month target of $304, cut $1, reflects relative valuation and DCF models. We apply an 11.5x multiple of enterprise value to projected 2027 EBITDA, above Cheniere's historical forward average, which we see as reasonable given the very real concern over interrupted natural gas cargoes out of Qatar, a key competitor of Cheniere's. On this basis, we estimate a value of $280 per share. Meanwhile, our DCF model, using medium-term FCF growth of 6% per year, terminal growth of 2.5%, and discounted at a WACC of 6.8%, yields a value of $334 per share. We raise our 2026 EPS estimate by $4.42 to $18.90 and our 2027 EPS estimate by $1.90 to $16.19. The Strait of Hormuz remains a massive energy bottleneck, and physical damage to Qatar's LNG export capabilities creates a window of opportunity for Cheniere. Cheniere has limited spot exposure in 2026, but this may encourage more long-term deals with Cheniere if it is seen as a more reliable supplier.