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FINWIRES

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Sell Opinion On Shares Of Dollar Tree, Inc.

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-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

We lower our 12-month target to $85 from $100, about 13x our FY 27 (Jan.) EPS of $6.49 (cut from $6.67 and below DLTR's guidance range of $6.50 to $6.90). We cut our FY 28 EPS to $7.09 from $7.23. This multiple is a notable discount to the company's long-term average forward P/E of 18x. We think a discount is warranted given risks associated with the company's multi-price rollout, which we believe introduces more competition and will make it difficult for DLTR to sustain traffic growth. We also note some one-time or transitory benefits to earnings growth in FY 27, including lower re-stickering costs associated with the multi-price rollout, along with higher TSA income from the divested Family Dollar business. Finally, freight costs, which served as a meaningful tailwind over the past year, are now reversing course. We expect rising freight to emerge as a more significant headwind as the fiscal year progresses, with potential downside implications for both margins and EPS.

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