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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Rating On Shares Of Tractor Supply Company

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CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

We lower our target price by $9 to $44 applying a forward P/E of 20.5x compared to the three-year historical average at 23.7x and five-year at 25.2x on normalized earnings. With lower demand, we have reduced our revenue projections in 2026 to $16.4B (prior $16.3B) and 2027 to $17.0B ($17.4B). We think TSCO faces material operating headwinds from declining transaction counts, structural challenges in the Companion Animal category (100-bp drag on comps), and persistent tariff pressures that are compressing margins despite cost management efforts. Working capital efficiency has deteriorated with inventory turns declining to 2.92x from 3.00x while operating cash flow fell 58% in Q1 2026, raising concerns about the sustainability of aggressive capital returns amidst modest comparable sales growth. However, the company maintains a solid balance sheet, strong new store productivity (65%-70% range), and resilient performance in core C.U.E. categories, providing a basis for recovery if consumer demand stabilizes.

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Research Alert: Alk: Q1 Loss Widens On Fuel Headwinds; Company Suspends Full-year Guidance

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