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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Matador Resources

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CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

Our 12-month target price of $61 (raised by $1) reflects a combination of relative valuation, DCF, and NAV models. On a relative basis, we apply a 4.5x multiple of EV to projected 2027 EBITDA, above MTDR's historical forward average, yielding a value of $55 per share. Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $65/share, while our NAV model yields $64/share. We lift our 2026 EPS estimate by $1.49 to $6.95, and 2027's by $0.06 to $6.02. MTDR should benefit in the near term from the sudden surge in crude oil prices, but probably by less than some of its Permian-focused peers. This is because MTDR is already hedged for 50% of its planned 2026 crude oil production with a ceiling price of $66 per barrel, considerably below WTI trading at $101/b recently. We note that MTDR is taking a more conservative stance for 2026, with a marked drop in capital spending, and its overall cash costs dropped in 2025, which we think can be repeated in 2026.

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