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RBC表示,美元/加幣匯率維持近期區間震盪。

-- 加拿大皇家銀行資本市場(RBC Capital Markets)表示,美元/加幣短期內可能維持區間震盪,因為本週的數據和地緣政治發展不足以打破該貨幣對近期的區間波動。 RBC指出,本週美元/加幣走勢基本上持平,因為本週的數據(加拿大消費者物價指數、加拿大央行商業展望調查、美國零售銷售)以及一系列與伊朗相關的消息都未能打破該貨幣對近期的區間震盪。 RBC加幣每週簡報指出,若美元/加幣跌破1.3500區域,則需要滿足以下兩個條件之一:1)美加利率差收窄速度快於預期,從而降低美元對沖成本;2)市場對美國資產的風險溢價上升。 RBC補充道,在過去一年的大部分時間裡,美元/加幣與美國股市保持「風險中立」關係,但目前該貨幣對正重新建立起與美國股市的負相關性。這意味著美元/加幣在避險情緒下再次扮演了天然對沖工具的角色——這種趨勢能否持續,對沖動機至關重要。 從技術角度來看,加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)的喬治·戴維斯(George Davis)表示,本週關鍵趨勢線支撐位1.3647守住了陣地,日線指標已進入超賣區域。 RBC指出,如果日線收盤價跌破1.3647,將結束自1月下旬以來的調整階段,並有利於重新測試年內低點1.3526和1.3482。 RBC補充道,預計1.3799和1.3856的阻力位將吸引拋售。

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