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RBCによると、ドミノ・ピザは第1四半期の市場予想を下回る見込み。

-- RBCキャピタル・マーケッツは水曜日に電子メールで送付したレポートの中で、ドミノ・ピザ(DPZ)の第1四半期決算はウォール街の予想を下回る可能性が高いと述べ、経済情勢の悪化が同社の米国既存店売上高見通しの下方修正につながるとの見通しを示した。 RBCは、ドミノ・ピザの第1四半期の米国既存店売上高成長率を2.7%と予想しており、これはアナリストのコンセンサス予想である3%を下回る。海外では、RBCは0.8%増と見ており、市場予想の0.7%増を下回る。 RBCは、ドミノ・ピザの第1四半期1株当たり利益を4.22ドルと予想しており、市場予想の4.30ドルを下回る。 同社は2月に、通期の米国既存店売上高成長率を3%と発表していた。 RBCのアナリスト、ローガン・ライヒ氏は、「(2月23日の)決算発表以降、マクロ経済圧力が強まる可能性があり、経営陣の見通しに徐々に重くのしかかる可能性がある」として、ドミノ・ピザの業績見通しを若干下方修正すると予想している。 RBCは、今年の米国市場の成長率を2.5%と予想しているが、市場予想は2.7%増となっている。 ライヒ氏は、「ドミノ・ピザは確かに売上減少の恩恵を受けていると言えるが、コロナ禍以降、既存店売上高(SSS)の成長を牽引してきたテイクアウトは、デリバリーよりもガソリン価格の上昇による影響をより大きく受ける可能性がある」と指摘した。 ホルムズ海峡を経由する輸送を阻害した米イラン紛争を受けて、エネルギー価格は急騰している。パキスタンでの和平交渉は合意に至らずに終わったものの、ワシントンとテヘラン間の2週間の停戦は依然として継続している。 ライヒ氏は、「原油価格の高騰は、特にこのセグメントの主要な成長牽引役である中国やインドなどの輸入国をはじめ、国際市場全体に影響を及ぼし始める可能性がある」と述べている。 RBCは、米国のデリバリー事業はDoorDash(DASH)の取引増加によって支えられているものの、DoorDashを除くと一桁台前半の減少が見込まれると述べた。一方、ヤム・ブランズ(YUM)傘下のピザハットとパパ・ジョンズ(PZZA)の店舗閉鎖は、第1四半期においてドミノ・ピザにとって若干のプラス要因となる可能性があると、ライヒ氏は付け加えた。 RBCはドミノ・ピザ株の投資判断を「セクター・パフォーム」に据え置き、目標株価を425ドルから400ドルに引き下げた。

Price: $368.45, Change: $-0.72, Percent Change: -0.20%

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