FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

OSFI年度風險展望指出金融業面臨的主要風險,監理機關已做出回應

-- 加拿大金融機構監管辦公室(OSFI)週二表示,將致力於提升加拿大銀行業在壓力下的「韌性」。 在周二發布的《2026-2027年度風險展望》中,該監管機構指出,房地產擔保貸款風險、非銀行金融機構風險、流動性和融資是金融業面臨的關鍵問題。 加拿大部分地區的房屋和抵押貸款壓力增加。傳統銀行體係以外的風險也在擴大,包括非銀行貸款機構和投資基金借貸規模擴大的地區。全球不確定性也可能影響融資市場的信心。 報告指出:“儘管融資成本和可用性保持穩定,但流動性事件發生的速度仍然是一個關鍵問題。” 為降低這些風險,OSFI的監管工作將包括審查各銀行的緊急資金和復原計畫。 「我們將評估活躍於國際市場的機構如何在其計劃中考慮地緣政治衝擊。我們還將重點關注機構在短期內報告流動性和融資狀況的能力,包括跨境風險敞口,」該機構表示。 OSFI將在2026年全年持續推動針對吸收存款機構的流動性風險指引工作。流動性充足性要求的最新修訂將於2026年5月1日生效,主要針對特定零售存款類別。監管機構將於5月21日發布第二季報告,其中包含流動性充足性要求的進一步更新,以徵求公眾意見。 OSFI也計劃在5月的季度報告中發佈內部流動性充足性評估流程指引草案,以徵求公眾意見。

Price: $202.70, Change: $+1.16, Percent Change: +0.58%

Related Articles

Asia

Suncorp Group Sees Improved Earnings Stability Under New Reinsurance Structure, Jefferies Says

Suncorp Group (ASX:SUN) will benefit from reduced earnings volatility and improved capital efficiency following its new five-year aggregate reinsurance program, though growth forecasts have been modestly revised lower, Jefferies said in an April 24 note.Jefferies noted that the new reinsurance program, starting June 30, provides AU$800 million in annual catastrophe protection and up to AU$2.4 billion over five years, capping natural hazard costs at budgeted levels in about 90% of scenarios and reducing earnings volatility from extreme weather.The equity research firm said that the company's revised framework raises its fiscal 2027 natural hazard allowance to AU$1.85 billion and ties it to exposure growth following a AU$453 million first-half 2026 overrun, with the impact broadly neutral.The research firm stated that, despite differing economics from its peers, the company's underlying insurance trading ratio outlook remains steady at 10% to 12% at the top end of its range, with reported earnings expected to better reflect underlying performance as catastrophe volatility eases.The research firm slightly revised its forecasts, cutting gross written premium growth to about 3% from 3.8% due to foreign exchange effects in New Zealand and updating investment income and valuation assumptions, with earnings estimates adjusted within a range of negative 3% to 1% over the forecast period.Jefferies maintained a hold rating on Suncorp Group and raised the price target to AU$17.70 from AU$16.50.

$ASX:SUN
Asia

Fortescue Faces Pressure From Iron Bridge Weakness, Green Energy Shift, Jefferies Says

Fortescue (ASX:FMG) reported softer quarterly performance alongside ongoing challenges at Iron Bridge and increased spending on non-core green energy projects, raising concerns over returns and valuation, Jefferies said in an April 24 note.The company reported a softer quarter due to seasonal and weather impacts, with solid performance from its Pilbara hematite operations offset by ongoing underperformance at the Iron Bridge magnetite project, which continues to face throughput and margin challenges and may struggle to justify its value.Jefferies noted that the company's $680 million investment in green energy capacity for third-party customers, such as industrial users and data centers, represents a strategic shift, but views it as non-core capital allocation that may justify a higher discount rate for its mining business until clearer returns emerge.The equity research firm said that the company's Pilbara system is nearing port capacity constraints, a "good problem" that may allow higher-margin hematite production to displace costlier Iron Bridge volumes, as the company reviews its portfolio, trims Iron Bridge output, and keeps overall shipment guidance broadly unchanged.The research firm added that the company remains financially solid with $4.2 billion in cash despite dividends and capital expenditure outflows and is expected to return to a net cash position longer term, but highlighted Iron Bridge uncertainty and higher green energy spending as risks, including a potential write-down, supporting a cautious outlook.Jefferies maintained an underperform rating on Fortescue and reduced the price target to AU$16.50 from AU$17.50.

$ASX:FMG
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

$OTIS