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Ollie's Bargain Outletの第1四半期の相対的な既存店売上高の低迷は天候が原因の可能性が高いとRBCが指摘

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-- RBCキャピタル・マーケッツは水曜日の調査レポートで、オリーズ・バーゲン・アウトレット(OLLI)の第1四半期の既存店売上高の伸び悩みは天候によるものであり、商品品質は安定しているものの、4月末時点で取引データの改善傾向が見られると指摘した。 アナリストらは、春の時期であることや、一部の消費者が年末年始休暇後に支出を控える傾向があることから、第1四半期の既存店売上高は歴史的に変動しやすいと述べている。 RBCは、第1四半期の既存店売上高成長率を従来の3.5%から2%に、調整後EPSを従来の0.93ドルから0.88ドルに下方修正した。しかし、第2四半期の既存店売上高成長率予測は2%、調整後EPSは1.16ドルで据え置いた。これは、第1四半期の伸び悩みが第2四半期の売上を押し上げると見込んでいるためだ。 RBCによると、同社株は2025年半ばのピークから2桁のパーセンテージで下落しているが、これはビッグ・ロッツの破産などの影響もあり、ほぼ理想的な在庫処分環境が終焉を迎えることへの懸念によるものだという。 同証券会社は、同銘柄に対する「アウトパフォーム」の投資判断を改めて表明し、目標株価を1株あたり155ドルから153ドルに引き上げた。

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