FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Mastercard Tops First-Quarter Views, Flags Headwinds From Middle East Conflict

By

-- Mastercard's (MA) first-quarter results outpaced Wall Street's estimates, though the payments giant said that the Middle East conflict was impacting spending on cross-border travel.

Adjusted earnings rose to $4.60 a share for the three months through March from $3.73 a year earlier, topping the FactSet-polled consensus of $4.41. Revenue climbed 16% to $8.40 billion, ahead of the Street's view for $8.26 billion.

Cross-border volume increased 13%, marking a slowdown from a 14% jump in the fourth quarter, according to an investor presentation.

While travel and non-travel spending gained in the first quarter, the company experienced "some impact on cross-border travel" from the Iran war in March, Chief Financial Officer Sachin Mehra said during an earnings call, according to a FactSet transcript.

Cross-border volume for the month of April through Tuesday grew 9% year-over-year, making a further deceleration compared with the first quarter's tally.

"We are operating in a period of heightened uncertainty, magnified by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East," Mehra told analysts. "Since the outbreak of the conflict at the end of February, we have seen restrictions on travel and a reduction in the world's energy supply."

The stock fell 3.7% in Thursday trade, and is down 11% year to date.

Gross dollar volume jumped 7.3% in local currency terms to $2.703 trillion in the first quarter.

For the second quarter, Mastercard expects annual revenue growth at the low end of low double digits, on an adjusted basis, according to the slide deck. The Street is looking for $9.11 billion in sales.

"We assume the conflict ends in (the second quarter) and the related headwinds will be largest in (the second quarter), and then progressively recover as we move through the second half of the year," Mehra told analysts.

Mastercard maintained its non-GAAP 2026 revenue growth outlook that assumes the company finishing the year at the high end of low double digits, the presentation showed. The market view is for revenue of $37 billion.

Visa (V) lifted its full-year growth outlook on Tuesday and logged better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results.

Price: $507.29, Change: $-17.94, Percent Change: -3.42%

Related Articles

Sectors

Sector Update: Energy

Energy stocks rose Thursday afternoon with the NYSE Energy Sector Index gaining 1% and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) climbing 0.8%.The Philadelphia Oil Service Sector Index advanced 0.5%, and the Dow Jones US Utilities Index rose 1.3%.West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell 2.4% to $104.37 a barrel, and global benchmark Brent dropped 3.5% to $113.93 a barrel. Henry Hub natural gas futures rose 3.9% to $2.75 per 1 million BTU.In corporate news, Apollo Global Management (APO), Blackstone (BX) and KKR (KKR) are among the final bidders for a major stake in Shell's (SHEL) LNG Canada project in a deal that could top $10 billion and reach as much as $15 billion, Reuters reported. Shell shares rose 1.3%.

$SHEL
Asia Markets

Exchange-Traded Funds Higher as US Equities Advance After Midday

Broad Market IndicatorsBroad-market exchange-traded fund IWM and IVV rose. Actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) edged up 0.4%.US equity indexes were higher after midday Thursday as investors weighed mega-cap corporate earnings and a warning from Iran's new supreme leader that Tehran won't give up its nuclear stockpile.EnergyIShares US Energy ETF (IYE) and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) each added about 0.8%.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) was down 0.4%; iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) rose 0.6%, and iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) gained 0.5%.The State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor (XSD) climbed 3.7%, and iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) was up 1.9%.FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) added 0.1%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) climbed 0.3%, and its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), lost 0.4%.CommoditiesCrude oil fell over 2%, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) lost 3%. Natural gas was up 4%, and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) rose 4.2%.Gold on Comex added 1.4%, and the State Street SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) advanced 1.6%. Silver rose 2.3%, and iShares Silver Trust (SLV) was up 2.6%.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) rose 1.4%. The Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) added 1.5%, and iShares Dow Jones US Consumer Goods (IYK) was 0.9% higher.The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) rose 0.4%. VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) added 0.5%, and the State Street SPDR S&P Retail (XRT) was up 1.9%.Health CareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) rose 2.3%, iShares US Healthcare (IYH) added 2.3%, and Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) was 2.2% higher. IShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) gained 2%.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) added 2.4%. Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) and iShares US Industrials (IYJ) were also higher.CryptocurrencyIn midday activity, bitcoin (BTC-USD) added 0.8%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) rose 1%, ProShares Ether ETF (EETH) gained 1.2%, and ProShares Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) was flat.

$^DJI$^EEM$^EXI$^FAS$^FAZ$^GLD$^IBB$^IGM$^IGV$^IPK$^IVV$^IWM$^IXIC$^IYE$^IYH$^IYJ$^IYK$^IYW$^PMR$^QQQ$^RTH$^SOXX$^SPX$^SPY$^UNG$^USO$^VDC$^VHT$^VIS$^XLE$^XLF$^XLI$^XLK$^XLP$^XLV$^XRT$^XSD$BETH$BITO$EETH
Australia

Brinker's Guidance Appears Achievable, Led by Chili's Chicken Sandwich Launch, UBS Says

Brinker International's (EAT) top end of full-year 2026 guidance seems achievable with a strong Chili's chicken sandwich launch and continued traction across sales initiatives, UBS Securities said in a note Thursday.The brokerage expects mid-single-digit same-store-sales growth and positive traffic at Chili's as reachable in fiscal Q4, with momentum likely continuing in fiscal 2027, driven by contribution from everyday value, marketing, menu enhancements, operational improvements, and remodel benefits over time, according to the note.Additional future catalysts for Brinker include accelerating unit growth, an eventual Maggiano's turnaround, strong balance sheet, and share repurchases, the brokerage said.UBS maintained a buy rating on Brinker with a price target of $190.Price: $151.10, Change: $+3.30, Percent Change: +2.23%

$EAT