-- インターナショナル・ビジネス・マシーンズ(IBM)の株価は、同社が通期売上高成長見通しを維持し、第1四半期決算がウォール街の予想を上回ったことを受け、木曜早朝に下落した。 同社は水曜遅く、2026年の売上高が為替変動の影響を除いた実質ベースで5%以上増加するとの見通しを維持していると発表した。為替変動は、今年の売上高成長率に対して、以前の予測である0.5ポイントの押し上げ効果を上回り、0.5~1ポイント程度の追い風になるとの見通しを示した。 「年初からの状況を踏まえると、業績と事業遂行が好調なスタートを切ったとはいえ、ガイダンスを維持することが賢明だと考えている」と、ジェームズ・カバノー最高財務責任者(CFO)は決算説明会で述べた(ファクトセットの議事録による)。 株価は直近のプレマーケット取引で7.3%下落し、年初来の下落率は15%に拡大した。 カバノー氏によると、IBMは2026年にソフトウェア事業の売上高が10%以上増加すると見込んでおり、コンサルティング事業も1桁台前半から中盤の伸びに加速すると予測している。一方、インフラストラクチャ事業の売上高は、今年も1桁台前半の減少が見込まれると、同CFOは付け加えた。 3月期決算では、IBMの調整後1株当たり利益は前年同期の1.60ドルから1.91ドルに増加し、FactSetのコンセンサス予想である1.81ドルを上回った。売上高は9%増の159億2000万ドルとなり、市場予想の156億3000万ドルを上回った。 アーヴィンド・クリシュナ最高経営責任者(CEO)は声明の中で、「第1四半期は、各事業セグメントで幅広い売上高成長を記録し、好調なスタートを切ることができました。顧客がユースケースを拡大するにつれ、(人工知能は)引き続き当社のグローバルビジネスにとって追い風となっています」と述べた。 ソフトウェア部門の売上高は11%増の70億5000万ドルとなり、ハイブリッドクラウド事業は13%増を記録した。コンサルティング事業の売上高は4%増の52億7000万ドル、インフラ事業の売上高は15%増の33億3000万ドルとなった。 カバノー氏はアナリストに対し、IBMは今後3ヶ月間の売上高成長率(為替変動の影響を除く)が通期と同程度になるとの見通しを示した。
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