-- 中東情勢の緊張が高まり続ける中、ホルムズ海峡を経由した液化天然ガス(LNG)輸送の長期的な混乱への懸念から、欧州の天然ガス先物価格は金曜日に上昇した。 オランダの期近TTF先物価格は1.98%上昇し、1メガワット時あたり45.37ユーロ(53.03ドル)となった。一方、英国のNBP先物価格は2.29%上昇し、1サーモあたり113.43ペンス(1.52ドル)となった。 木曜日、ドナルド・トランプ米大統領はTruth Socialへの投稿で、ホルムズ海峡で機雷を敷設する船舶を「撃ち殺せ」と米海軍に命じたと述べた。 金曜日、イランのマソウド・ペゼシュキア大統領の副官であるイスマイル・サカブ・エスファハニ氏は、イランのエネルギーインフラに対するいかなる攻撃も、サウジアラビアへの報復攻撃で対処すると警告した。 「我々の標的リストは明確だ。もし我々の油井が攻撃されたら、サウジアラビアの油田の一つを標的にして、それに応じた対応を取る」と、タイムズ・オブ・インディア紙の報道によると、彼は述べた。 一方、ホルムズ海峡モニターによると、過去24時間で通過した船舶はわずか5隻で、海峡の交通は事実上麻痺状態に陥っている。 ブルーウォーター・ストラテジーのシニア・ファイナンス・エグゼクティブ、ミヒール・エンゲラー氏は、カタールのラス・ラファンLNG施設の損傷、海峡の長期にわたる混乱、そして欧州の米国産LNGへの依存度の高さを挙げ、「安価で豊富、かつ政治的に中立なガスの時代は終わった」と警告した。 こうした状況は、欧州が再注入シーズンに突入する時期に発生している。ガス・インフラストラクチャー・ヨーロッパによると、欧州のLNG在庫は大幅に減少しており、前年同期の37.54%に対し、現在はわずか30.82%となっている。
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