-- 木曜日、ドナルド・トランプ米大統領によるホルムズ海峡における最新の緊張激化発言を受け、欧州天然ガス先物価格は2%以上上昇した。 オランダの期近TTF先物価格は2.19%上昇し、1メガワット時あたり44.50ユーロ(52.03ドル)となった。一方、英国のNBP先物価格は2.29%上昇し、1サーモあたり110.92ペンス(1.49ドル)となった。 トランプ大統領は木曜日、Truth Socialへの投稿で、戦略的に重要なホルムズ海峡で機雷を敷設している船舶を「撃ち殺せ」と米海軍に命じたと述べた。 トランプ大統領は、イラン海軍の艦艇はすべて撃沈されたこと、そして米海軍の掃海艇が既に海峡の掃海作業を開始していることを指摘した。 しかし、ワシントン・ポスト紙が議会に提出した報告書によると、米国防総省自身の評価では、ホルムズ海峡から機雷が完全に除去されるまでには少なくとも6ヶ月かかると見込まれている。 一方、ホルムズ海峡モニターによると、過去24時間で通過した船舶はわずか5隻で、ホルムズ海峡の航行は再び麻痺状態に陥っている。 これは、イラン軍が水曜日に海峡を通過していた船舶2隻を規則違反と航行システム操作の容疑で拿捕した後のことである。 こうした事態は、欧州がガス再注入シーズンを迎える時期に発生している。欧州ではガス在庫が大幅に減少しており、容量のわずか30.70%にとどまっている。これは前年同期の37.32%と比較して大幅な減少である。 同時に、ヨーロッパにとって重要な供給源であるノルウェーの生産量は、3月には1日あたり123億4000万立方フィートとなり、2月から1.6%、前年同月比で0.8%減少した。また、ノルウェー海洋局のデータによると、予測値も0.5%下回っており、供給状況をさらに悪化させている。
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