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EMEA天然ガス最新情報:トランプ大統領のイランに対する強硬姿勢を受け、先物価格が4%以上上昇

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-- 水曜日の欧州天然ガス先物価格は上昇した。これは、ドナルド・トランプ米大統領がイランに対する封鎖延長を示唆し、ソーシャルメディアへの投稿でイランに対し「早く賢く行動しろ」と警告したと報じられたことを受けたものだ。 期近のオランダTTF先物価格は4.01%上昇し、1メガワット時あたり45.34ユーロ(53.05ドル)、英国NBP先物価格は3.51%上昇し、1サーモあたり112.21ペンス(1.52ドル)となった。 ウォール・ストリート・ジャーナル紙は、関係筋の話として、トランプ大統領が地域における敵対行為の終結どころか、イランの港湾に対する封鎖延長の準備を側近に指示し、イランへの経済的圧力を強めるよう求めたと報じた。 トランプ大統領は水曜日のTruth Socialへの投稿で、イランとの交渉が行き詰まっていることを受け、イランは「早く賢く行動した方がいい」と警告した。 世界のLNG輸送量の5分の1を占めるホルムズ海峡は、9週連続で事実上閉鎖状態が続いており、ホルムズ海峡モニターによると、過去24時間で通過した船舶はわずか5隻だった。 ブルームバーグの報道によると、火曜日には、紛争勃発以来2か月以上ぶりにLNGタンカーが海峡を通過することに成功した。これは船舶追跡データに基づくものだ。 ANZのシニア商品ストラテジスト、ダニエル・ハインズ氏は、欧州は「来冬を前に枯渇したガス貯蔵を補充するという課題に依然として直面している」と指摘した。 同氏によると、過去5年間、地域のガス貯蔵量は通常、暖房シーズン開始時に80%から100%の容量で稼働していた。 しかし、ガス・インフラストラクチャー・ヨーロッパによると、今回の在庫は容量のわずか31.97%にとどまっており、コスト上昇と供給制約の継続により、来冬までに地域は深刻な補充課題に直面することになる。 同時に、天気予報によると、北極からの珍しい寒気団の流入により、今後数日間は東ヨーロッパと南東ヨーロッパ全域で気温が低下する見込みだ。

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